B A Figure 3.2 Figure 3.3 (3.6) Р(А+ B) — Р(А) + P(B) — Р(АВ). To see why this is true, consider Figure 3.2. To find P(A+ B) we add the probabil- ities of all the sample points in the region consisting of A or B or both. But if we add P(A) and P(B), we have included the probabilities of all the sample points in AB twice [once in P(A) and once in P(B)]. Thus we must subtract P(AB), which is the sum of the probabilities of all the sample points in AB. This is just what (3.6) says. If the sample space diagram is like the one in Figure 3.3, so that P(AB) = 0, we say that A and B are mutually exclusive. Then (3.6) becomes (3.7) P(A+B) = P(A) + P(B), A and B mutually exclusive. Example 1. (a) In three tosses of a coin, what is the probability that all three are heads? We found p = for this problem in Section 2 by seeing that one sample point out of eight corresponds to all heads. Now we can do the problem more simply by saying that the probability of heads on each toss is ;, the tosses are independent, and therefore 1 1 1 p = 1 I| 2 2 2 8 (b) If we should want the probability of all heads when a coin is tossed ten times, the sample space would be unwieldy; instead of using the sample space, we can say that since the tosses are independent, the desired probability is p= (c) To find the probability of at least one tail in ten tosses, we see that this event corresponds to all the rest of the sample space except the "all heads" point. Since the sum of the probabilities of all the sample points is 1, the desired probability is 1- ()10. In Figure 3.1 or Figure 3.2 the region AB corresponds to the happening of both A and B. The whole region consisting of points in A or B or both corresponds to the happening of either A or B or both. We write P(AB) for the probability that both A and B occur. We shall write P(A+B) for the probability that either or both occur. Then we can prove that
B A Figure 3.2 Figure 3.3 (3.6) Р(А+ B) — Р(А) + P(B) — Р(АВ). To see why this is true, consider Figure 3.2. To find P(A+ B) we add the probabil- ities of all the sample points in the region consisting of A or B or both. But if we add P(A) and P(B), we have included the probabilities of all the sample points in AB twice [once in P(A) and once in P(B)]. Thus we must subtract P(AB), which is the sum of the probabilities of all the sample points in AB. This is just what (3.6) says. If the sample space diagram is like the one in Figure 3.3, so that P(AB) = 0, we say that A and B are mutually exclusive. Then (3.6) becomes (3.7) P(A+B) = P(A) + P(B), A and B mutually exclusive. Example 1. (a) In three tosses of a coin, what is the probability that all three are heads? We found p = for this problem in Section 2 by seeing that one sample point out of eight corresponds to all heads. Now we can do the problem more simply by saying that the probability of heads on each toss is ;, the tosses are independent, and therefore 1 1 1 p = 1 I| 2 2 2 8 (b) If we should want the probability of all heads when a coin is tossed ten times, the sample space would be unwieldy; instead of using the sample space, we can say that since the tosses are independent, the desired probability is p= (c) To find the probability of at least one tail in ten tosses, we see that this event corresponds to all the rest of the sample space except the "all heads" point. Since the sum of the probabilities of all the sample points is 1, the desired probability is 1- ()10. In Figure 3.1 or Figure 3.2 the region AB corresponds to the happening of both A and B. The whole region consisting of points in A or B or both corresponds to the happening of either A or B or both. We write P(AB) for the probability that both A and B occur. We shall write P(A+B) for the probability that either or both occur. Then we can prove that
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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