Assume that the term premium is 0 and the expectations theory of the term structure is the correct framework. You observe that the interest rate on a 1-year Treasury 1 security is 2%, and the interest rate on a 2-year Treasury security is 4%. What is the market's expectation for 1-year interest rates next year? What does this say about the market's expectations for the future state of the economy?

Principles of Economics, 7th Edition (MindTap Course List)
7th Edition
ISBN:9781285165875
Author:N. Gregory Mankiw
Publisher:N. Gregory Mankiw
Chapter34: The Influence Of Monetary And Fiscal Policy On Aggregate Demand
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Assume that the term premium is 0 and the expectations theory of the term structure is the correct framework. You
observe that the interest rate on a 1-year Treasury 1 security is 2%, and the interest rate on a 2-year Treasury security
is 4%. What is the market's expectation for 1-year interest rates next year? What does this say about the market's
expectations for the future state of the economy?
C
C
4. Assume that the term premium is 0 and the expectations theory of the term structure
is the correct framework. You observe that the interest rate on a 1-year Treasury
1
security is 2%, and the interest rate on a 2-year Treasury security is 4%. What is the
market's expectation for 1-year interest rates next year? What does this say about the
market's expectations for the future state of the economy?
Transcribed Image Text:Assume that the term premium is 0 and the expectations theory of the term structure is the correct framework. You observe that the interest rate on a 1-year Treasury 1 security is 2%, and the interest rate on a 2-year Treasury security is 4%. What is the market's expectation for 1-year interest rates next year? What does this say about the market's expectations for the future state of the economy? C C 4. Assume that the term premium is 0 and the expectations theory of the term structure is the correct framework. You observe that the interest rate on a 1-year Treasury 1 security is 2%, and the interest rate on a 2-year Treasury security is 4%. What is the market's expectation for 1-year interest rates next year? What does this say about the market's expectations for the future state of the economy?
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