As the owner of a pizza delivery restaurant, you are constantly looking for ways to keep costs low while maintaining quality service. Because your profit margins are thin, you'd like the number of delivery drivers to be as low as possible. You receive orders from customers at an interarrival time of 6 minutes exponentially distributed. A driver can pick up one order, deliver it to a customer, and return back to the restaurant in 20 to 60 minutes, equally distributed. The corporate office mandates that you must have an average order delivery time of under 60 minutes. Some deliveries can be more than 60 minutes and some can be under 60 minutes, but on average they must be below one hour. You may hire as many drivers as you like. But hiring too many drivers will cause your payroll to be unnecessarily high and too few drivers will put you over the 60 minute delivery requirement. Assume that a driver can only deliver one order per round trip. Question: How many drivers are needed in order to keep average delivery times under one hour? 2/2014 - Pizza Delivery - 8 drivers

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
10th Edition
ISBN:9780470458365
Author:Erwin Kreyszig
Publisher:Erwin Kreyszig
Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
Section: Chapter Questions
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As the owner of a pizza delivery restaurant, you are constantly looking for ways to keep
costs low while maintaining quality service. Because your profit margins are thin, you'd
like the number of delivery drivers to be as low as possible.
You receive orders from customers at an interarrival time of 6 minutes exponentially
distributed. A driver can pick up one order, deliver it to a customer, and return back to
the restaurant in 20 to 60 minutes, equally distributed.
The corporate office mandates that you must have an average order delivery time of under
60 minutes. Some deliveries can be more than 60 minutes and some can be under 60
minutes, but on average they must be below one hour.
You may hire as many drivers as you like. But hiring too many drivers will cause your
payroll to be unnecessarily high and too few drivers will put you over the 60 minute
delivery requirement. Assume that a driver can only deliver one order per round trip.
Question: How many drivers are needed in order to keep average delivery times under one
hour? 2/2014 - Pizza Delivery - 8 drivers
Transcribed Image Text:As the owner of a pizza delivery restaurant, you are constantly looking for ways to keep costs low while maintaining quality service. Because your profit margins are thin, you'd like the number of delivery drivers to be as low as possible. You receive orders from customers at an interarrival time of 6 minutes exponentially distributed. A driver can pick up one order, deliver it to a customer, and return back to the restaurant in 20 to 60 minutes, equally distributed. The corporate office mandates that you must have an average order delivery time of under 60 minutes. Some deliveries can be more than 60 minutes and some can be under 60 minutes, but on average they must be below one hour. You may hire as many drivers as you like. But hiring too many drivers will cause your payroll to be unnecessarily high and too few drivers will put you over the 60 minute delivery requirement. Assume that a driver can only deliver one order per round trip. Question: How many drivers are needed in order to keep average delivery times under one hour? 2/2014 - Pizza Delivery - 8 drivers
With flu season upon us, each of us has important decisions to make if and when we fall ill.
In the interest of discussing decision trees, let's assume that you've picked up an illness but
you're not sure if it is just a cold virus, a more severe flu virus, or a penicillin treatable
bacterial infection.
There are two alternatives for you to consider:1.) Whether or not to see the doctor and
have the doctor run the test to determine if the illness is a cold, flu, or bacterial.2.) Whether
or not to treat the illness with penicillin (which will only be effective against a bacterial
illness).
The cost to go to the doctor and have the test is $200 and the cost of a penicillin
prescription is $50. The chance of the illness being a cold is 50%, flu is 20%, and bacterial
is 30%. The test results also match these ratios. If the test indicates that it is a cold, then
there is a 80% likelihood that it is a cold. If the test indicates a flu virus, then there is a
90% likelihood that it is the flu. If the test indicates that it is bacterial, then there is a 95%
likelihood that it is a bacterial illness. The alternative outcomes are evenly divided among
the likelihood balance. If the illness is a cold then you will miss 5 days of work which is a
cost to you of $500.
If the illness is the flu then you will miss 8 days of work at a cost to you of $800. If the
illness is bacterial and is not treated you will miss 12 days of work at a cost of $1200. If you
correctly treat the bacterial illness you will only miss 2 days of work at a cost of $200.
Question: Should you see the doctor? 2/2008 - Decision Trees - Yes, $252.25
Transcribed Image Text:With flu season upon us, each of us has important decisions to make if and when we fall ill. In the interest of discussing decision trees, let's assume that you've picked up an illness but you're not sure if it is just a cold virus, a more severe flu virus, or a penicillin treatable bacterial infection. There are two alternatives for you to consider:1.) Whether or not to see the doctor and have the doctor run the test to determine if the illness is a cold, flu, or bacterial.2.) Whether or not to treat the illness with penicillin (which will only be effective against a bacterial illness). The cost to go to the doctor and have the test is $200 and the cost of a penicillin prescription is $50. The chance of the illness being a cold is 50%, flu is 20%, and bacterial is 30%. The test results also match these ratios. If the test indicates that it is a cold, then there is a 80% likelihood that it is a cold. If the test indicates a flu virus, then there is a 90% likelihood that it is the flu. If the test indicates that it is bacterial, then there is a 95% likelihood that it is a bacterial illness. The alternative outcomes are evenly divided among the likelihood balance. If the illness is a cold then you will miss 5 days of work which is a cost to you of $500. If the illness is the flu then you will miss 8 days of work at a cost to you of $800. If the illness is bacterial and is not treated you will miss 12 days of work at a cost of $1200. If you correctly treat the bacterial illness you will only miss 2 days of work at a cost of $200. Question: Should you see the doctor? 2/2008 - Decision Trees - Yes, $252.25
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