As a preliminary helper result, show by induction that for events E1, E2,...,EM, P(E, or E, or... or Em)s ¿ P(EM)

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P. Answer the following question accordingly. It shouldn’t take that long. Thanks in advance!
**Title: Understanding Probability in Tournament Graphs**

**Introduction:**
As a preliminary helper result, show by induction that for events \( E_1, E_2, \ldots, E_M \),

\[ P(E_1 \text{ or } E_2 \text{ or } \ldots \text{ or } E_M) \leq \sum_{m=1}^{M} P(E_m) \]

**Tournament Representation:**
Let’s consider a tournament between N teams, with each team playing against every other team.

**Graph Representation:**
- Results of the tournament can be modeled by a directed graph.
- Each node \( i \) represents team \( i \).
- A directed edge \( i \rightarrow j \) exists if team \( i \) beats team \( j \).

**Problem of Winner Declaration:**
- In cases where every team is beaten by some other team, it becomes difficult to declare a winner.
- Solution: Define a "k-winner" as a team \( i \) for which there is a group of \( k \) teams each beaten by team \( i \).
- While other teams might have beaten team \( i \), there exists a subgroup of size \( k \) that was consistently beaten by \( i \).

**Key Question:**
1. If the results of each game are determined by a fair coin flip, what is the probability that a given team \( i \) is a k-winner?

This framework helps in analyzing and predicting potential outcomes in tournaments and determining the likelihood of a team being dominant based on a probabilistic model.
Transcribed Image Text:**Title: Understanding Probability in Tournament Graphs** **Introduction:** As a preliminary helper result, show by induction that for events \( E_1, E_2, \ldots, E_M \), \[ P(E_1 \text{ or } E_2 \text{ or } \ldots \text{ or } E_M) \leq \sum_{m=1}^{M} P(E_m) \] **Tournament Representation:** Let’s consider a tournament between N teams, with each team playing against every other team. **Graph Representation:** - Results of the tournament can be modeled by a directed graph. - Each node \( i \) represents team \( i \). - A directed edge \( i \rightarrow j \) exists if team \( i \) beats team \( j \). **Problem of Winner Declaration:** - In cases where every team is beaten by some other team, it becomes difficult to declare a winner. - Solution: Define a "k-winner" as a team \( i \) for which there is a group of \( k \) teams each beaten by team \( i \). - While other teams might have beaten team \( i \), there exists a subgroup of size \( k \) that was consistently beaten by \( i \). **Key Question:** 1. If the results of each game are determined by a fair coin flip, what is the probability that a given team \( i \) is a k-winner? This framework helps in analyzing and predicting potential outcomes in tournaments and determining the likelihood of a team being dominant based on a probabilistic model.
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