an oil exploration company is trying to determine, whether or not to drill for oil in a particular location. their geologists give the following probabilities: there is a 20% probability that they will get a gusher and earn $20,000,000 there is a 45% probability they will earn $8,000,000 otherwise they will lose their 10,000 inves

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an oil exploration company is trying to determine, whether or not to drill for oil in a particular location. their geologists give the following probabilities:

  • there is a 20% probability that they will get a gusher and earn $20,000,000
  • there is a 45% probability they will earn $8,000,000
  • otherwise they will lose their 10,000 investment

 

Make up a probability distribution for this drilling prospect.

find the expected value

if you were the CEO of the company, would you drill? Explain briefly.

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