An engineering firm uses one of five software companies to modify its products for its customers. Any piece of software can be modified with one and only one of these companies. Define the following events: S₁: the software was modified with company 1 S₂: the software was modified with company 2 S3: the software was modified with company 3 S4: the software was modified with company 4 ● S5: the software was modified with company 5 ● The engineering firm was found to use each of the software companies with the following probabilities: D(S) 0.50 D(S) 0.25 D(S) 0.05 DIS 010 DIS 010
An engineering firm uses one of five software companies to modify its products for its customers. Any piece of software can be modified with one and only one of these companies. Define the following events: S₁: the software was modified with company 1 S₂: the software was modified with company 2 S3: the software was modified with company 3 S4: the software was modified with company 4 ● S5: the software was modified with company 5 ● The engineering firm was found to use each of the software companies with the following probabilities: D(S) 0.50 D(S) 0.25 D(S) 0.05 DIS 010 DIS 010
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
Transcribed Image Text:An engineering firm uses one of five software companies to modify its products for its customers.
Any piece of software can be modified with one and only one of these companies. Define the
following events:
●
●
S₁: the software was modified with company 1
S₂: the software was modified with company 2
S3: the software was modified with company 3
S4: the software was modified with company 4
S5: the software was modified with company 5
The engineering firm was found to use each of the software companies with the following
probabilities:
P(S₁) = 0.50 P(S₂) = 0.25 P(S3) = 0.05 P(S4) = 0.10 P(S5) = 0.10.
Let X be the event that the software is modified successfully by the selected software company.
Depending on the company chosen, the probability of X varies:
P(X| S₁) = 0.95 P(X| S₂) = 0.75 P(X| S3) = 0.50 P(X| S4) = 0.65 P(X| S5) = 0.65
A. Compute the numerical value of P(S₁ U S2 U S3)
B. Given that software has been modified successfully what is the probability that it was
done with company S3? In other words, compute the numerical value of P(S3|X) – hint:
use Bayes rule.
Expert Solution

Step 1
An engineering firm uses one of five software companies to modify its products for its customers.
Any piece of software can be modified with one and only one of these companies. This means that modification of software by the companies is independent of one another.
Define the following events:
S₁: the software was modified with company 1
S₂: the software was modified with company 2
S3: the software was modified with company 3
S4: the software was modified with company 4
S5: the software was modified with company 5
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