An analyst estimates there is a probability of 22 percent that there will be a recession next year. Hethinks the probability of things being normal is three times the probability of a recession, with theremaining probability assigned to a boom taking place. A stock is expected to return -18 percent in arecession, 9 percent under normal conditions and 22 percent if there is a boom. What is the expectedreturn (in percent) on this stock? Answer to two decimals, carry intermediate calcs. to four decimals.

Given information: Probability for recession state is 22% and return in this state is -18%.…

Answered: An analyst estimates there is a…

Essentials Of Investments

11th Edition

ISBN:9781260013924

Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.

Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.

Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1PS

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Similar questions

Following are three economic states, their likelihoods, and the potential returns: Economic State Fast growth Slow growth Recession Probability 0.27 0.35 0.38 Standard deviation Return 32% 4 -22 Determine the standard deviation of the expected return. (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answe decimal places.) %
(Expected return and standard deviation) What is the expected return and standard devia- tion of the return for the next year on a stock that is selling for $30 now and has probabil- ities of 0.2, 0.6, and 0.2 of selling one year from now at $24, $33, and $39, respectively? Assume that no dividends will be paid on the stock during the next year and ignore taxes?
The risk-free rate is 3.7% and you believe that the S&P 500's excess return will be 11% over the next year. If you invest in a stock with a beta of 1 (and a standard deviation of 30%), what is your best guess as to its expected excess return over the next year? Question content area bottom Part 1 The expected excess return over the next year is enter your response here %. (Round to two decimal places.)
An analyst gathered the following information for a stock and market parameters: stock beta = 1.23; expected return on the Market = 9.32%; expected return on T-bills = 4.75%; current stock Price = $9.08; expected stock price in one year = $13.1; expected dividend payment next year = $3.8. Calculate the expected return for this stock. Please share your answer as a percentage rounded to 2 decimal places.
A stock is expected to pay a dividend of $1.50 at the end of the year (i.e., D1 = $1.50), and it should continue to grow at a constant rate of 9% a year. If its required return is 14%, what is the stock's expected price 1 year from today? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest cent.
A stock with a beta of 0.9 has an expected rate of return of 10%. If the market return this year turns out to be 8 percentage points below expectations, what is your best guess as to the rate of return on the stock? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.) Stock return %
Northern Wear stock has an expected return of 14.6 percent. Given the information below, what is the expected return on this stock if the economy is normal? Probability of State of Economy .15 State of Economy Rate of Return Recession Normal -05 .80 Воom .05 .19 O 13 percent O 16 percent 18 percent O 21 percent O 23 percent
A stock is expected to pay a dividend of $1.99 at the end of the year. The required rate of return is rs = 13.82%, and the expected constant growth rate is g = 8.0%. What is the stock's current price?Round your answer to two decimal places. For example, if your answer is $345.6671 round as 345.67 and if your answer is .05718 or 5.7182% round as 5.72. A. $39.61 B. $29.71 C. $34.14 D. $42.68 E. $35.51
Investors expect the market rate of return this year to be 17.00%. The expected rate of return on a stock with a beta of 0.9 is currently 15.30%. If the market return this year turns out to be 15.00%, how would you revise your expectation of the rate of return on the stock? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 1 decimal place.)
A stock is expected to return 8% in a normal economy, 12% if the economy booms, and lose 6% if the economy moves into a recessionary period. Economists predict a 56% chance of a normal economy, a 24% chance of a boom, and a 20% chance of a recession. The expected return on the stock is %.
Please Solve In 15mins
If you look at stock prices over any year, you will find a high and low stock price for the year. Instead of a single benchmark PE ratio, we now have a high and low PE ratio for each year. We can use these ratios to calculate a high and a low stock price for the next year. Suppose we have the following information on a particular company: High price Low price EPS Year 1 $ 85.61 68.33 6.46 a. High target price b. Low target price Year 2 $94.99 79.75 8.88 Year 3 $ 116.05 84.23 8.54 Year 4 $ 128.08 105.86 10.13 Earnings are expected to grow at 5.5 percent over the next year. a. What is the high target stock price over the next year? Note: Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16. b. What is the low target stock price over the next year? Note: Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.

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