An analyst estimates there is a probability of 18 percent that there will be a recession next year. He thinks the probability of things being normal is three times the probability of a recession, with the remaining probability assigned to a boom taking place. A stock is expected to return -12 percent in a recession, 10 percent under normal conditions and 24 percent if there is a boom. What is the expected return (in percent) on this stock? Answer to two decimals, carry intermediate calcs. to four decimals.
An analyst estimates there is a probability of 18 percent that there will be a recession next year. He thinks the probability of things being normal is three times the probability of a recession, with the remaining probability assigned to a boom taking place. A stock is expected to return -12 percent in a recession, 10 percent under normal conditions and 24 percent if there is a boom. What is the expected return (in percent) on this stock? Answer to two decimals, carry intermediate calcs. to four decimals.
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
Related questions
Question
100%
An analyst estimates there is a
Expert Solution
This question has been solved!
Explore an expertly crafted, step-by-step solution for a thorough understanding of key concepts.
Step by step
Solved in 3 steps with 12 images
Recommended textbooks for you
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
Probability
ISBN:
9780134753119
Author:
Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
PEARSON
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
Probability
ISBN:
9780134753119
Author:
Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
PEARSON