Acme Steel Fabricators experienced booming business for the past five years. The company fabricates a wide range of steel​ products, such as​ railings, ladders, and light structural steel framing. The current manual method of materials handling is causing excessive inventories and congestion. Acme is considering the purchase of an overhead​ rail-mounted hoist system or a forklift truck to increase capacity and improve manufacturing efficiency. The annual pretax payoff from the system depends on future demand. If demand stays at the current​ level, the probability of which is 0.60, annual savings from the overhead hoist will be $10,000. If demand​ rises, the hoist will save ​$22,000 annually because of operating efficiencies in addition to new sales.​ Finally, if demand​ falls, the hoist will result in an estimated annual loss of ​$50,000. The probability is estimated to be 0.30 for higher demand and 0.10 for lower demand. If the forklift is​ purchased, annual payoffs will be ​$5,000 if demand is​ unchanged,$10,000 if demand​ rises, and -27,000 if demand falls. Fiind b. I already find a

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Acme Steel Fabricators experienced booming business for the past five years. The company fabricates a wide range of steel​ products, such as​ railings, ladders, and light structural steel framing. The current manual method of materials handling is causing excessive inventories and congestion. Acme is considering the purchase of an overhead​ rail-mounted hoist system or a forklift truck to increase capacity and improve manufacturing efficiency. The annual pretax payoff from the system depends on future demand. If demand stays at the current​ level, the probability of which is 0.60, annual savings from the overhead hoist will be $10,000. If demand​ rises, the hoist will save ​$22,000 annually because of operating efficiencies in addition to new sales.​ Finally, if demand​ falls, the hoist will result in an estimated annual loss of ​$50,000. The probability is estimated to be 0.30 for higher demand and 0.10 for lower demand. If the forklift is​ purchased, annual payoffs will be ​$5,000 if demand is​ unchanged,$10,000 if demand​ rises, and -27,000 if demand falls.

Fiind b. I already find a

 

a. Choose the correct decision tree for this problem.
O A.
O B.
[0.60] No Change $10,000
[0.60] No Change $10,000
[0.30] Increase
[0.30] Increase
Hoist 2
$22,000
Forklift
-$22,000
[0.10] Decrease
[0.10] Decrease
- $50,000
$50,000
1
[0.60] No Change $5,000
[0.60] No Change $5.000
(0.30] Increase
[0.30] Increase
Forklift 3
$10,000
Hoist
-$10,000
[0.10] Decrease
[0.10] Decrease
- $27,000
$27,000
O D.
[0.60] No Change $10,000
[0.60] No Change $10,000
[0.30] Increase
[0.10] Increase
Hoist
$22,000
Forklift
$22,000
[0.10] Decrease
[0.30] Decrease
- $50,000
- $50,000
[0.60] No Change $5.000
[0.60] No Change $5,000
[0.30] Increase
[0.10] Increase
Forklift
-$10,000
Hoist
$10,000
[0.10] Decrease
[0.30] Decrease
- $27,000
- $27,000
The expected value of the hoist is $. (Enter your response as an integer and include a minus sign if necessary.)
Transcribed Image Text:a. Choose the correct decision tree for this problem. O A. O B. [0.60] No Change $10,000 [0.60] No Change $10,000 [0.30] Increase [0.30] Increase Hoist 2 $22,000 Forklift -$22,000 [0.10] Decrease [0.10] Decrease - $50,000 $50,000 1 [0.60] No Change $5,000 [0.60] No Change $5.000 (0.30] Increase [0.30] Increase Forklift 3 $10,000 Hoist -$10,000 [0.10] Decrease [0.10] Decrease - $27,000 $27,000 O D. [0.60] No Change $10,000 [0.60] No Change $10,000 [0.30] Increase [0.10] Increase Hoist $22,000 Forklift $22,000 [0.10] Decrease [0.30] Decrease - $50,000 - $50,000 [0.60] No Change $5.000 [0.60] No Change $5,000 [0.30] Increase [0.10] Increase Forklift -$10,000 Hoist $10,000 [0.10] Decrease [0.30] Decrease - $27,000 - $27,000 The expected value of the hoist is $. (Enter your response as an integer and include a minus sign if necessary.)
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