Acme Co. is considering a four-year project that will require an initial investment of $9,000. The base-case cash flows for this project are projected to be $14,000 per year. The best-case cash flows are projected to be $21,000 per year, and the worst-case cash flows are projected to be –$2,500 per year. The company’s analysts have estimated that there is a 50% probability that the project will generate the base-case cash flows. The analysts also think that there is a 25% probability of the project generating the best-case cash flows and a 25% probability of the project generating the worst-case cash flows.   A. What would be the expected net present value (NPV) of this project if the project’s cost of capital is 11%?   $27,066   $29,773   $28,419   $23,006     Acme now wants to take into account its ability to abandon the project at the end of year 2 if the project ends up generating the worst-case scenario cash flows. If it decides to abandon the project at the end of year 2, the company will receive a one-time net cash inflow of $4,500 (at the end of year 2). The $4,500 the company receives at the end of year 2 is the difference between the cash the company receives from selling off the project’s assets and the company’s –$2,500 cash outflow from operations. Additionally, if it abandons the project, the company will have no cash flows in years 3 and 4 of the project.   B. Using the information in the preceding problem, find the expected NPV of this project when taking the abandonment option into account.   $27,887   $35,226   $33,758   $29,355     C. What is the value of the option to abandon the project                     ?

Principles of Accounting Volume 2
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ISBN:9781947172609
Author:OpenStax
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Chapter11: Capital Budgeting Decisions
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 2PB: Markoff Products is considering two competing projects, but only one will be selected. Project A...
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8. Abandonment options

Acme Co. is considering a four-year project that will require an initial investment of $9,000. The base-case cash flows for this project are projected to be $14,000 per year. The best-case cash flows are projected to be $21,000 per year, and the worst-case cash flows are projected to be –$2,500 per year. The company’s analysts have estimated that there is a 50% probability that the project will generate the base-case cash flows. The analysts also think that there is a 25% probability of the project generating the best-case cash flows and a 25% probability of the project generating the worst-case cash flows.
 
A. What would be the expected net present value (NPV) of this project if the project’s cost of capital is 11%?
 
$27,066
 
$29,773
 
$28,419
 
$23,006
 
 
Acme now wants to take into account its ability to abandon the project at the end of year 2 if the project ends up generating the worst-case scenario cash flows. If it decides to abandon the project at the end of year 2, the company will receive a one-time net cash inflow of $4,500 (at the end of year 2). The $4,500 the company receives at the end of year 2 is the difference between the cash the company receives from selling off the project’s assets and the company’s –$2,500 cash outflow from operations. Additionally, if it abandons the project, the company will have no cash flows in years 3 and 4 of the project.
 
B. Using the information in the preceding problem, find the expected NPV of this project when taking the abandonment option into account.
 
$27,887
 
$35,226
 
$33,758
 
$29,355
 
 
C. What is the value of the option to abandon the project                     ?   
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