a. Plot the frequency chart of monthly excess stock returns, and compute mean, volatility (i.e., standard deviation), skewness and kurtosis of excess stock returns, and perform a test for whether the excess stock returns are normally distributed; b. Perform a test and discuss your findings for the difference in means of the excess stock returns across periods of economic expansion and recession as indicated by the NBER recession index;   f. Run a multivariate OLS regression of the excess stock return on all the three factor returns (Mkt_RF, SMB, HML). Explain and discuss the economic significance (i.e., the magnitude) and statistical significance of the intercept and the relations between the excess stock return and the three factor returns;

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please solve the three sub-parts (a,b,f) by using given data in pictures 


a. Plot the frequency chart of monthly excess stock returns, and compute mean, volatility (i.e., standard deviation), skewness and kurtosis of excess stock returns, and perform a test for whether the excess stock returns are normally distributed;

b. Perform a test and discuss your findings for the difference in means of the excess stock returns across periods of economic expansion and recession as indicated by the NBER recession index;

 

f. Run a multivariate OLS regression of the excess stock return on all the three factor returns (Mkt_RF, SMB, HML). Explain and discuss the economic significance (i.e., the magnitude) and statistical significance of the intercept and the relations between the excess stock return and the three factor returns;

a.
ESR
variable
sd skewness kurtosis
N
nean
ESR
275 .0013146 .0862379 .2246285 5.499584
b.
Two-sample t test with unequal variances
obs
Mean std. Err.
std. Dev. (95% conf. Interval]
36
-.0222395
.0238602
.143161
-.0706782
.0261992
y
239
.0048625
.0047759
.0738333
-.0045459
.0142709
combined
275
.0013146
.0052003
.0862379
-.0089231
.0115523
diff
-.027102
.0243334
-.0763688
.0221648
diff - mean(x) - nean(y)
HO: diff - e
t- -1.1138
satterthwaite's degrees of freedom - 37.8518
Ha: diff !- e
Pr(|T| > |t|) = 0.2724
Ha: diff > e
Pr(T > t) = 0.8638
Ha: diff < e
Pr(T < t) = 0.1362
08
09
Kouanbəs
Transcribed Image Text:a. ESR variable sd skewness kurtosis N nean ESR 275 .0013146 .0862379 .2246285 5.499584 b. Two-sample t test with unequal variances obs Mean std. Err. std. Dev. (95% conf. Interval] 36 -.0222395 .0238602 .143161 -.0706782 .0261992 y 239 .0048625 .0047759 .0738333 -.0045459 .0142709 combined 275 .0013146 .0052003 .0862379 -.0089231 .0115523 diff -.027102 .0243334 -.0763688 .0221648 diff - mean(x) - nean(y) HO: diff - e t- -1.1138 satterthwaite's degrees of freedom - 37.8518 Ha: diff !- e Pr(|T| > |t|) = 0.2724 Ha: diff > e Pr(T > t) = 0.8638 Ha: diff < e Pr(T < t) = 0.1362 08 09 Kouanbəs
f.
Source
df
MS
Number of obs
275
F(3, 271)
59.16
Model
.806408775
3 .268802925
Prob > F
e.0000
Residual
1.23132076
271 .004543619
R-squared
0.3957
Adj R-squared =
0.3890
Total
2.03772953
274 .007436969
Root MSE
.06741
ESR
Coef.
std. Err.
t
P>|t|
[95% Conf. Interval]
Mkt_RF
1.215893
.0922072
13.19
0.000
1.03436
1.397427
SMB
-.1911945
.1317904
-1.45
0.148
-.4506576
.0682687
HML
.2817048
.1301661
2.16
0.031
.0254394
.5379701
_cons
-.0064722
.0041153
-1.57
0.117
-.0145742
.0016298
Transcribed Image Text:f. Source df MS Number of obs 275 F(3, 271) 59.16 Model .806408775 3 .268802925 Prob > F e.0000 Residual 1.23132076 271 .004543619 R-squared 0.3957 Adj R-squared = 0.3890 Total 2.03772953 274 .007436969 Root MSE .06741 ESR Coef. std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] Mkt_RF 1.215893 .0922072 13.19 0.000 1.03436 1.397427 SMB -.1911945 .1317904 -1.45 0.148 -.4506576 .0682687 HML .2817048 .1301661 2.16 0.031 .0254394 .5379701 _cons -.0064722 .0041153 -1.57 0.117 -.0145742 .0016298
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