a. A₁ U A₂ b. An A [Hint: (A, U. A₁ U A₂ U A3 C.

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Could you double-check if my answers are correct for this question 2.13? If not, please point out the error and present the correction. 

Question. 2.13:

a. A1 ∪ A2: This event represents the project being awarded to either project 1 (A1) or project 2 (A2), or both. In words, it's the event of winning project 1 or project 2.

   Probability of A1 ∪ A2:

   P(A1 ∪ A2) = P(A1) + P(A2) - P(A1 ∩ A2)

             = 0.22 + 0.25 - 0.11

             = 0.36

 

b. A1' ∩ A2': This event represents not winning project 1 (A1') and not winning project 2 (A2'). In words, it's the event of not being awarded either project 1 or project 2.

   Probability of A1' ∩ A2':

   P(A1' ∩ A2') = P(A1' ∩ A2)

              = P(A2) - P(A1 ∩ A2)

              = 0.25 - 0.11

              = 0.14

 

c. A1 ∪ A2 ∪ A3: This event represents the project being awarded to either project 1 (A1), project 2 (A2), or project 3 (A3), or any combination of them. In words, it's the event of winning any of the three projects.

   Probability of A1 ∪ A2 ∪ A3:

   P(A1 ∪ A2 ∪ A3) = P(A1) + P(A2) + P(A3) - P(A1 ∩ A2) - P(A1 ∩ A3) - P(A2 ∩ A3) + P(A1 ∩ A2 ∩ A3)

                   = 0.22 + 0.25 + 0.28 - 0.11 - 0.05 - 0.07 + 0.01

                   = 0.53

 

d. A1' ∩ A2' ∩ A3': This event represents not winning project 1 (A1'), not winning project 2 (A2'), and not winning project 3 (A3'). In words, it's the event of not being awarded any of the three projects.

   Probability of A1' ∩ A2' ∩ A3':

   P(A1' ∩ A2' ∩ A3') = P(A1') × P(A2') × P(A3')

                    = (1 - P(A1)) × (1 - P(A2)) × (1 - P(A3))

                    = (1 - 0.22) × (1 - 0.25) × (1 - 0.28)

                    = 0.58 × 0.75 × 0.72

                    ≈ 0.315

 

e. A1' ∩ A2' ∩ A3: This event represents not winning project 1 (A1'), not winning project 2 (A2'), but winning project 3 (A3). In words, it's the event of not being awarded project 1 and project 2, but being awarded project 3.

   Probability of A1' ∩ A2' ∩ A3:

   P(A1' ∩ A2' ∩ A3) = P(A3) - P(A1 ∩ A3) - P(A2 ∩ A3) + P(A1 ∩ A2 ∩ A3)

                   = 0.28 - 0.05 - 0.07 + 0.01

                   = 0.17

 

f. (A1' ∩ A2') ∪ A3: This event represents not winning project 1 (A1') and not winning project 2 (A2'), or winning project 3 (A3), or both. In words, it's the event of not being awarded project 1 and project 2, or being awarded project 3, or both.

   Probability of (A1' ∩ A2') ∪ A3:

   P((A1' ∩ A2') ∪ A3) = P(A1' ∩ A2') + P(A3) - P((A1' ∩ A2') ∩ A3)

                     = 0.14 + 0.28 - 0.01

                     = 0.41

 

13. A computer consulting firm presently has bids out on three
projects. Let A; = {awarded project i}, for i = 1, 2, 3, and
suppose that P(A₁) = .22, P(A₂) = .25, P(A3) = .28,
P(A₁ MA₂) = .11, P(A₁ ♂ A3) = .05, P(A₂ MA3) = .07,
P(A₁ A₂ A3) = .01. Express in words each of the fol-
lowing events, and compute the probability of each event:
a. A₁ U A₂
b. An A₂ [Hint: (A₁ U A₂)' = A'¦ NA
c. A₁ U A₂ U A3
d. A₁ A₂ A3
e. A₁ A₂ n A3
f. (ANA₂) UA3
Transcribed Image Text:13. A computer consulting firm presently has bids out on three projects. Let A; = {awarded project i}, for i = 1, 2, 3, and suppose that P(A₁) = .22, P(A₂) = .25, P(A3) = .28, P(A₁ MA₂) = .11, P(A₁ ♂ A3) = .05, P(A₂ MA3) = .07, P(A₁ A₂ A3) = .01. Express in words each of the fol- lowing events, and compute the probability of each event: a. A₁ U A₂ b. An A₂ [Hint: (A₁ U A₂)' = A'¦ NA c. A₁ U A₂ U A3 d. A₁ A₂ A3 e. A₁ A₂ n A3 f. (ANA₂) UA3
Expert Solution
Step 1: We have given that

P(A1)=0.22, P(A2)=0.25

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