A vending machine contains 1000 lollipops. Some of the lollipops are red, and the others are blue. You don’t know how many there are of each color. However, you do know that these two alternatives are equally likely. There are 900 blue lollipops and 100 red ones. There are 500 blue lollipops and 500 red ones. When you put a coin into the vending machine, it gives you a lollipop, chosen at random. Suppose that it gives you a blue lollipop. What is the probability that there are 900 blue lollipops and 100 red ones? Show how you got the answer.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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A vending machine contains 1000 lollipops. Some of the lollipops are red, and the others are blue. You don’t know how many there are of each color. However, you do know that these two alternatives are equally likely.

  • There are 900 blue lollipops and 100 red ones.

  • There are 500 blue lollipops and 500 red ones.

When you put a coin into the vending machine, it gives you a lollipop, chosen at random. Suppose that it gives you a blue lollipop. What is the probability that there are 900 blue lollipops and 100 red ones? Show how you got the answer.

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