(a) Two sets of n independent trials are performed, independently of each other, and each trial results in either success or failure, the probability of success being p1 in the first set of trials and P2 in the second set. Show that the probability P of obtaining x1 successes in the first set and x2 successes in the second set is given by P = Kpi'p? (1 – p1)" *(1 - p2)"*, where K depends only on n, x1 and x2. If p1 =p and p2 = p?, find an expression for log P and show that, for given values of n, x1 and x2, log P has a maximum value when p is such that (x, + 2x2) – (n – x1)p - 3np? = 0. (b) An insect breeding experiment was conducted in two sections, in each of which 100 insects of a particular species were raised. In the first section a proportion p was expected to have a certain colour variation and in the second section the proportion with this colour variation was expected to be p², but the value of p was not known. In the event there were 22 insects in the first section, and 7 in the second section, which possessed the colour variation. Find the value of p which maximises the probability of this result.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Statistics and probability
(a) Two sets of n independent trials are performed, independently of each other, and each trial
results in either success or failure, the probability of success being p1 in the first set of trials and
P2 in the second set. Show that the probability P of obtaining x1 successes in the first set and
x2 successes in the second set is given by
P = Kpipi (1 – p1)"*(1 – p2)"*,
where K depends only on n, x1 and x2. If p1 =p and p2 = p?, find an expression for log P
and show that, for given values of n, x, and x2, log P has a maximum value when p is such
that
(x1 + 2x2) – (n - x)p – 3np² = 0.
(b) An insect breeding experiment was conducted in two sections, in each of which 100 insects
of a particular species were raised. In the first section a proportion p was expected to have a
certain colour variation and in the second section the proportion with this colour variation was
expected to be p², but the value of p was not known. In the event there were 22 insects in the
first section, and 7 in the second section, which possessed the colour variation. Find the value
of p which maximises the probability of this result.
Transcribed Image Text:(a) Two sets of n independent trials are performed, independently of each other, and each trial results in either success or failure, the probability of success being p1 in the first set of trials and P2 in the second set. Show that the probability P of obtaining x1 successes in the first set and x2 successes in the second set is given by P = Kpipi (1 – p1)"*(1 – p2)"*, where K depends only on n, x1 and x2. If p1 =p and p2 = p?, find an expression for log P and show that, for given values of n, x, and x2, log P has a maximum value when p is such that (x1 + 2x2) – (n - x)p – 3np² = 0. (b) An insect breeding experiment was conducted in two sections, in each of which 100 insects of a particular species were raised. In the first section a proportion p was expected to have a certain colour variation and in the second section the proportion with this colour variation was expected to be p², but the value of p was not known. In the event there were 22 insects in the first section, and 7 in the second section, which possessed the colour variation. Find the value of p which maximises the probability of this result.
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