(a) Tom has a fair coin and a two-headed coin (a coin that both sides are heads) in his pocket. He selects one of the coins at random, and when he flips it, it shows heads. What is the probability that it is the fair coin? (b) Suppose that he flips the same coin a second time and again it shows heads. Now what is the probability that it is the fair coin?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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A. (a) Tom has a fair coin and a two-headed coin (a coin that both sides are heads) in his pocket.
He selects one of the coins at random, and when he flips it, it shows heads. What is the
probability that it is the fair coin?
(b) Suppose that he flips the same coin a second time and again it shows heads.
Now what is the probability that it is the fair coin?
Transcribed Image Text:A. (a) Tom has a fair coin and a two-headed coin (a coin that both sides are heads) in his pocket. He selects one of the coins at random, and when he flips it, it shows heads. What is the probability that it is the fair coin? (b) Suppose that he flips the same coin a second time and again it shows heads. Now what is the probability that it is the fair coin?
Expert Solution
Step 1

Given data:

The number of fair coins is F=1.

The number of the unfair coins is F'=1

The probability of choosing a fair coin is,

PF=12

The probability of choosing an unfair coin is,

PF'=12

The probability of getting the head when a fair coin is tossed is,

PH/F=12

The probability of getting the head when an unfair coin is tossed is,

PH/F'=1

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