A simplified model of the movement of the price of a stock supposes that on each day the stock’s price either moves up 1 unit with probability 0.9 or moves down 1 unit with probability 0.1. The changes on different days are assumed to be independent. a)  What is the probability that after four days the stock will be at its original price? b)  What is the probability that after five days the stock’s price will have decreased by 1 unit? c) Given that the stock is at its original price after two days, what is the probability it will be below its original price after five days?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Urgentt!! A simplified model of the movement of the price of a stock supposes that on each day the stock’s price either moves up 1 unit with probability 0.9 or moves down 1 unit with probability 0.1. The changes on different days are assumed to be independent.

a)  What is the probability that after four days the stock will be at its original price?

b)  What is the probability that after five days the stock’s price will have decreased by 1 unit?

c) Given that the stock is at its original price after two days, what is the probability it will be below its original price after five days?

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