A school board would like to know whether a school referendum is likely to pass in their town. A referendum requires a simple majority of votes to pass. A simple random sample of 200 residents of the town is taken and, of the 200, 110 express support for the referendum. A significance test is performed using the hypotheses H0: p = 0.5 and Ha: p > 0.5, which results in a P-value of 0.0787. Which of the following statements correctly interprets the P-value of the test? A. There is a 7.87% chance that p = 0.5.

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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Author:Amos Gilat
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Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
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A school board would like to know whether a school referendum is likely to pass in their town. A referendum requires a simple majority of votes to pass. A simple random sample of 200 residents of the town is taken and, of the 200, 110 express support for the referendum. A significance test is performed using the hypotheses H0p = 0.5 and Hap > 0.5, which results in a P-value of 0.0787. Which of the following statements correctly interprets the P-value of the test?

A. There is a 7.87% chance that p = 0.5.
B. There is a 7.87% chance that p = 0.55.
C. There is a 7.87% chance that the referendum will pass.
D. If samples like these were to be taken many, many times, about 7.87% of those samples would result in the referendum passing.
E. If support for the referendum really was 50%, there is a 0.0787 probability that the sample of 200 obtained would result in 110 or more supporting the referendum.
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