A researcher interested in explaining the level of foreign reserves for the country of Barbados estimated the following multiple regression model using yearly data spanning the period 2001 to 2016:  ??=?+????+????+???? Where FR = yearly foreign reserves ($000’s), OIL = annual oil prices, EXP = yearly total exports ($000’s) and FDI = annual foreign direct investment ($000’s). The sample of data was processed using MINITAB and the following is an extract of the output obtained:    Predictor  Coef  StDev  t-ratio  p-value    Constant  5491.38 2508.81 2.1888 0.0491                 OIL      85.39 18.46      4.626         0.0006                 EXP  -377.08 112.19        *           0.0057                 FDI          -396.99 160.66 -2.471           **                                     S = 2.45  R-sq = 96.3%       R-sq(adj) = 95.3%                                   Analysis of Variance                                                 Source        DF     SS          MS      F           p      Regression     3 1991.31 663.77   ?      ??      Error         12    77.4         6.45               Total         15                         What is dependent and independent variables?                                                              Fully write out the regression equation                                                               Fill in the missing values ‘*’, ‘**’, ‘?’and ‘??’                                                    Hence test whether ? is significant. Give reasons for your answer.                          Perform the F Test making sure to state the null and alternative hypothesis.               Given an interpretation of the term “R-sq” and comment on its value.

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A researcher interested in explaining the level of foreign reserves for the country of Barbados estimated the following multiple regression model using yearly data spanning the period 2001 to 2016: 

??=?+????+????+????

Where FR = yearly foreign reserves ($000’s), OIL = annual oil prices, EXP = yearly total exports ($000’s) and FDI = annual foreign direct investment ($000’s). The sample of data was processed using MINITAB and the following is an extract of the output obtained:

  

Predictor  Coef  StDev  t-ratio  p-value 

 

Constant  5491.38 2508.81 2.1888 0.0491

 

              OIL      85.39 18.46      4.626         0.0006

 

              EXP  -377.08 112.19        *           0.0057

 

              FDI          -396.99 160.66 -2.471           ** 

 

                            

    S = 2.45  R-sq = 96.3%       R-sq(adj) = 95.3%

                            

     Analysis of Variance                                          

      Source        DF     SS          MS      F           p

     Regression     3 1991.31 663.77   ?      ??

     Error         12    77.4         6.45       

 

     Total         15                    

 

 

  1. What is dependent and independent variables?                                                             
  2. Fully write out the regression equation                                                              
  3. Fill in the missing values ‘*’, ‘**’, ‘?’and ‘??’                                                   
  4. Hence test whether ? is significant. Give reasons for your answer.                         
  5. Perform the F Test making sure to state the null and alternative hypothesis.              
  6. Given an interpretation of the term “R-sq” and comment on its value.                        
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