A personnel director has two lists of applicants for jobs. List 1 contains names of 24 women and 8 men, whereas List 2 contains the names of 9 women and 16 men. A name is randomly selected from List 1 and added to List 2. A name is then randomly selected from the augmented List 2. Given that the name selected is that of a man, what is the probability that a woman's name was originally selected from List 1? Round your answer to four decimal places, if necessary.

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A personnel director has two lists of applicants for jobs. List 1 contains names of 24 women and 8 men, whereas List 2 contains the names of 9 women and 16 men. A name is randomly selected from List 1 and added to List 2. A name is then randomly selected from the augmented List 2. Given that the name selected is that of a man, what is the probability that a woman's name was originally selected from List 1? Round your answer to four decimal places, if necessary.
 
 
 
Expert Solution
Step 1

Given that,

List 1 contains 24 women's and 8 men's names

List 2 contains 9 women's and 16 men's names

The event W is selecting women's names from list 1

The event M is selecting men's names from list 2

The probability is the ratio of the number of favorable outcomes of the event to the total number of outcomes.

The probability of the complement of an event is 

P(A')=1-P(A)

The formula for the Bayes theorem for event A and event B is

P(A|B)=P(B|A)P(A)P(B)

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