A medical test has been designed to detect the presence of a certain disease. Among people who have the disease, the probability that the disease will be detected by the test is 0.94. However, the probability that the test will erroneously indicate the presence of the disease in those who do not actually have it is 0.03. It is estimated that 5% of the population who take this test have the disease. (Round your answers to three decimal places.) (a) If the test administered to an individual is positive, what is the probability that the person actually has the disease? (b) If an individual takes the test twice and the test is positive both times, what is the probability that the person actually has the disease? (Assume that the tests are independent.)

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
icon
Related questions
Topic Video
Question

A medical test has been designed to detect the presence of a certain disease. Among people who have the disease, the probability that the disease will be detected by the test is 0.94. However, the probability that the test will erroneously indicate the presence of the disease in those who do not actually have it is 0.03. It is estimated that 5% of the population who take this test have the disease. (Round your answers to three decimal places.)

(a) If the test administered to an individual is positive, what is the probability that the person actually has the disease?


(b) If an individual takes the test twice and the test is positive both times, what is the probability that the person actually has the disease? (Assume that the tests are independent.)
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 3 steps

Blurred answer
Knowledge Booster
Discrete Probability Distributions
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, probability and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Similar questions
Recommended textbooks for you
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
Probability
ISBN:
9780134753119
Author:
Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
PEARSON
A First Course in Probability
A First Course in Probability
Probability
ISBN:
9780321794772
Author:
Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
PEARSON