A long-time independent bank merged with another bank in 2006. Their year-end financial reports for the final five years of independent operation give the values to the right for their liquid assets. a) Use a 3-year moving average to predict what liquid assets would have been in 2006. b) Predict the value for 2006 using a single exponential smooth with smoothing parameter α = 0.3, beginning with the initial value. $M (Round to the nearest integer as needed.) b) SM (Round to the nearest integer as needed.) Year 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Liquid Assets (SM) 17,328 22,220 21,034 20,660 26,162

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**Predicting Future Liquid Assets of an Independent Bank (Pre-Merger)**

In 2006, a long-time independent bank merged with another bank. Below are the year-end financial reports for the last five years of its independent operations, focusing on the liquid assets.

| Year | Liquid Assets ($M) |
|------|--------------------|
| 2001 | 17,328             |
| 2002 | 22,220             |
| 2003 | 21,034             |
| 2004 | 20,660             |
| 2005 | 26,162             |

**Tasks:**

a) **Three-Year Moving Average Prediction:**
   - Calculate the three-year moving average to estimate what the liquid assets would have been in 2006.

b) **Single Exponential Smoothing Prediction:**
   - Predict the 2006 liquid assets using a single exponential smoothing method with a smoothing parameter $\alpha = 0.3$, starting with the initial value.

---

**Solutions:**

a) [ ] $M  
*(Round to the nearest integer as needed.)*

b) [ ] $M  
*(Round to the nearest integer as needed.)*
Transcribed Image Text:**Predicting Future Liquid Assets of an Independent Bank (Pre-Merger)** In 2006, a long-time independent bank merged with another bank. Below are the year-end financial reports for the last five years of its independent operations, focusing on the liquid assets. | Year | Liquid Assets ($M) | |------|--------------------| | 2001 | 17,328 | | 2002 | 22,220 | | 2003 | 21,034 | | 2004 | 20,660 | | 2005 | 26,162 | **Tasks:** a) **Three-Year Moving Average Prediction:** - Calculate the three-year moving average to estimate what the liquid assets would have been in 2006. b) **Single Exponential Smoothing Prediction:** - Predict the 2006 liquid assets using a single exponential smoothing method with a smoothing parameter $\alpha = 0.3$, starting with the initial value. --- **Solutions:** a) [ ] $M *(Round to the nearest integer as needed.)* b) [ ] $M *(Round to the nearest integer as needed.)*
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