A laboratory blood test is 99 percent effective in detecting a certain disease when it is, in fact, present. However, the test also yields a "false positive" result for 1 percent of the healthy persons tested. (That is, if a healthy person is tested, then, with probability .01, the test result will imply he or she has the disease.) If .5 percent of the population has the disease, what is the probability that a person has the disease given that his test result is positive?

Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
Problem 2C
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A laboratory blood test is 99 percent effective in detecting a certain disease when it is, in fact,
present. However, the test also yields a "false positive" result for 1 percent of the healthy
persons tested. (That is, if a healthy person is tested, then, with probability .01, the test result
will imply he or she has the disease.) If .5 percent of the population has the disease, what is the
probability that a person has the disease given that his test result is positive?
Transcribed Image Text:A laboratory blood test is 99 percent effective in detecting a certain disease when it is, in fact, present. However, the test also yields a "false positive" result for 1 percent of the healthy persons tested. (That is, if a healthy person is tested, then, with probability .01, the test result will imply he or she has the disease.) If .5 percent of the population has the disease, what is the probability that a person has the disease given that his test result is positive?
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