a group of people are having a charity fair by having a lottery. Every participant can win in three idependent rounds. The chance og winning in every round are different. the probability to win in round 1 is θ, round 2: 4θ, and round 3: 5θ. θ

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
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Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
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a group of people are having a charity fair by having a lottery. Every participant can win in three idependent rounds. The chance og winning in every round are different. the probability to win in round 1 is θ, round 2: 4θ, and round 3: 5θ. θ <max(1/4, 1/5). in round 2 and three does every participant have the chance to win regardless of prevoius wins. X1, X2, and Xdetermine if you win. X= 1 if you win, if not 0. 

You want to estimte the probabililty θ from the three observations. X1, X2 and X3 with the following estiamtions (picture) 
Show that both estimates are right of expectation. Find an expression for the variance to ˆθ1  and ˆθ2 given by θ. Which estimate is the best when θ = 0.2? 

 

 

1
X2
X3
(X1+ X2 + X3),
10
(X1 +
3
4
5
Transcribed Image Text:1 X2 X3 (X1+ X2 + X3), 10 (X1 + 3 4 5
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