A general can plan a campaign to fight one major battle or three small battles. He believes that he has probability 0.6 of winning the large battle and probability 0.9 of winning each of the small battles. Victories or defeats in the small battles are independent. The general must win either the large battle or all three small battles to win the campaign. What is the probability of winning using each stratogy? one major battle 0.6 three small battles 2.7 Which strategy should he choose? O one major battle O three small battles
Addition Rule of Probability
It simply refers to the likelihood of an event taking place whenever the occurrence of an event is uncertain. The probability of a single event can be calculated by dividing the number of successful trials of that event by the total number of trials.
Expected Value
When a large number of trials are performed for any random variable ‘X’, the predicted result is most likely the mean of all the outcomes for the random variable and it is known as expected value also known as expectation. The expected value, also known as the expectation, is denoted by: E(X).
Probability Distributions
Understanding probability is necessary to know the probability distributions. In statistics, probability is how the uncertainty of an event is measured. This event can be anything. The most common examples include tossing a coin, rolling a die, or choosing a card. Each of these events has multiple possibilities. Every such possibility is measured with the help of probability. To be more precise, the probability is used for calculating the occurrence of events that may or may not happen. Probability does not give sure results. Unless the probability of any event is 1, the different outcomes may or may not happen in real life, regardless of how less or how more their probability is.
Basic Probability
The simple definition of probability it is a chance of the occurrence of an event. It is defined in numerical form and the probability value is between 0 to 1. The probability value 0 indicates that there is no chance of that event occurring and the probability value 1 indicates that the event will occur. Sum of the probability value must be 1. The probability value is never a negative number. If it happens, then recheck the calculation.
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YMSSTAT2 6.E.027.
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A general can plan a campaign to fight one major battle or three small battles. He believes that he has probability 0.6 of winning the large battle and probability 0.9 of winning each of the small battles.
Victories or defeats in the small battles are independent. The general must win either the large battle or all three small battles to win the campaign. What is the probability of winning using each strategy?
one major battle
0.6
three small battles 2.7
Which strategy should he choose?
one major battle
three small battles
MY NOTES
ASK YOUR TEACHER
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YMSSTAT2 6.E.028.
An automobile manufacturer buys computer chips from a supplier. The supplier sends a shipment containing 5% defective chips. Each chip chosen from this shipment has probability of 0.05 of being
defective, and each automobile uses 17 chips selected independently. What is the probability that all 17 chips in a car will work properly?
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