A defence system is 99.5% efficient in intercepting ballistic missiles. (a) What is the probability that it will intercept all of 100 missiles launched against it? (b) How many missiles must an aggressor launch to have a better than evens (i.e. >50%) chance of one or more penetrating the defences? (c) How many missiles would be needed to ensure a better than evens chance of more than two missiles evading the defences? (Hint: Do you think the number would be large enough that you could consider an approximation?)

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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A defence system is 99.5% efficient in intercepting ballistic missiles. (a) What is the probability
that it will intercept all of 100 missiles launched against it? (b) How many missiles must an
aggressor launch to have a better than evens (i.e. >50%) chance of one or more penetrating
the defences? (c) How many missiles would be needed to ensure a better than evens chance of
more than two missiles evading the defences? (Hint: Do you think the number would be large
enough that you could consider an approximation?)
Transcribed Image Text:A defence system is 99.5% efficient in intercepting ballistic missiles. (a) What is the probability that it will intercept all of 100 missiles launched against it? (b) How many missiles must an aggressor launch to have a better than evens (i.e. >50%) chance of one or more penetrating the defences? (c) How many missiles would be needed to ensure a better than evens chance of more than two missiles evading the defences? (Hint: Do you think the number would be large enough that you could consider an approximation?)
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