A convenience store recently started to carry a new brand of soft drink. Management is interested in estimating future sales volume to determine whether it should continue to carry the new brand or replace it with another brand. The following table provides the number of cans sold per week. Use both the trend projection with regression and the exponential smoothing (let a=0.4 with an initial forecast for week 1 of 604) methods to forecast demand for week 13. Compare these methods by using the mean absolute deviation and mean absolute percent error performance criteria. Does your analysis suggest that sales are trending and if so, by how much? Period Sales (1) Obtain the trend projection with regression forecast. The forecast for week 13 is 752 (Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole number.) Specify the mean absolute deviation (MAD) and mean absolute percent error (MAPE). (Enter your responses rounded to two decimal places.) 2 3 1 604 629 652 4 731 6 5 674 634 MAD 7 8 731 707 D 9 10 11 12 754 745 656 747 MAPE

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Author:Amos Gilat
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A convenience store recently started to carry a new brand of soft drink. Management is interested in estimating future sales volume to
determine whether it should continue to carry the new brand or replace it with another brand. The following table provides the number of
cans sold per week. Use both the trend projection with regression and the exponential smoothing (let a=0.4 with an initial forecast for week
1 of 604) methods to forecast demand for week 13. Compare these methods by using the mean absolute deviation and mean absolute
percent error performance criteria. Does your analysis suggest that sales are trending and if so, by how much?
Period
Sales
3
1
2
604 629 652
4
731
5
674
6
634
MAD
7
8
731 707
9
754
MAPE
1%
10
11.
745 656
12
747
(i) Obtain the trend projection with regression forecast.
The forecast for week 13 is 752. (Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole number.)
Specify the mean absolute deviation (MAD) and mean absolute percent error (MAPE). (Enter your responses rounded to two decimal
places.)
D
Transcribed Image Text:A convenience store recently started to carry a new brand of soft drink. Management is interested in estimating future sales volume to determine whether it should continue to carry the new brand or replace it with another brand. The following table provides the number of cans sold per week. Use both the trend projection with regression and the exponential smoothing (let a=0.4 with an initial forecast for week 1 of 604) methods to forecast demand for week 13. Compare these methods by using the mean absolute deviation and mean absolute percent error performance criteria. Does your analysis suggest that sales are trending and if so, by how much? Period Sales 3 1 2 604 629 652 4 731 5 674 6 634 MAD 7 8 731 707 9 754 MAPE 1% 10 11. 745 656 12 747 (i) Obtain the trend projection with regression forecast. The forecast for week 13 is 752. (Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole number.) Specify the mean absolute deviation (MAD) and mean absolute percent error (MAPE). (Enter your responses rounded to two decimal places.) D
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