A chemical plant has an emergency alarm system. When an emergency situation exists, the alarm sounds with probability 0.95. When an emergency situation does not exist, the alarm sounds with probability 0.02. A real emergency situation is a rare event, with probability 0.004. Given that the alarm has just sounded, what is the probability that a real emergency situation exists?
A chemical plant has an emergency alarm system. When an emergency situation exists, the alarm sounds with probability 0.95. When an emergency situation does not exist, the alarm sounds with probability 0.02. A real emergency situation is a rare event, with probability 0.004. Given that the alarm has just sounded, what is the probability that a real emergency situation exists?
Calculus For The Life Sciences
2nd Edition
ISBN:9780321964038
Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Chapter12: Probability
Section12.3: Conditional Probability; Independent Events; Bayes' Theorem
Problem 8YT: YOUR TURN 8 The probability that a student will pass a math exam is 0.8, if he or she attends the...
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