A chef must decide how many chocolate lava cakes to prepare for the upcoming Mother's Day Dinner special.  The chef can either prepare 50, 100, or 150 lava cakes.  Assume that demand for the lava cakes can be 50, 100, or 150.  Each dish costs $5 to make and is priced at for $7 on the menu.  Unsold cakes are donated to a nearby charity center.  Assume that there is no opportunity cost for lost sales. The cafe owner told the chef that in the past years, the probability that clients will order 50 cakes is 0.30; the probability they will order 100 cakes is 0.50, and the probability that they will order 150 cakes is 0.20. What is the EVPI?

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A chef must decide how many chocolate lava cakes to prepare for the upcoming Mother's Day Dinner special.  The chef can either prepare 50, 100, or 150 lava cakes.  Assume that demand for the lava cakes can be 50, 100, or 150. 

Each dish costs $5 to make and is priced at for $7 on the menu.  Unsold cakes are donated to a nearby charity center.  Assume that there is no opportunity cost for lost sales.

The cafe owner told the chef that in the past years, the probability that clients will order 50 cakes is 0.30; the probability they will order 100 cakes is 0.50, and the probability that they will order 150 cakes is 0.20.

What is the EVPI?

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