A bakery makes and sells daily bagels, plain buns and plain soft bagels. It earns 2 TL for each bagel, 3 TL for a plain bun and 3.25 TL for a plain soft bagel. The bakery aims to produce and sell at least 100 products per day. The main resources used and the quantities required from each source for the production of each product are given in the table below. Bakery Resources Daily Capacity Required Resource Amount Daily Bagel Plain Bun Plain Soft Вagel Dough (kg) 15 0.10 0.15 0.2 Labor (man*hour) 10.25 0.05 0.15 0.075 Baking Time - Oven Capacity 20 0.2 0.1 0.2 Utilization In order to maximize the bakery income, the LP model given below was established. Decision variables (X1, X2, X3) show the number of daily bagels, plain buns and plain soft bagels produced per day, respectively. Answer the questions according to this LP model. Find solutions to sensitivity questions with revised simplex or dual simplex. Unless otherwise stated, the questions are independent from each other. Max Z = 2X1 + 3X2 + 3.25X3 S.T. 0.1X1 + 0.15X2 + 0.2X3 s1 15 0.05X1 + 0.15X2 + 0.075X3 s 10.25 0.2X1 + 0.1X2 + 0.2x; s 20 X1+ X2 + Xs 2 100 X1, X2, X3 2 0
Addition Rule of Probability
It simply refers to the likelihood of an event taking place whenever the occurrence of an event is uncertain. The probability of a single event can be calculated by dividing the number of successful trials of that event by the total number of trials.
Expected Value
When a large number of trials are performed for any random variable ‘X’, the predicted result is most likely the mean of all the outcomes for the random variable and it is known as expected value also known as expectation. The expected value, also known as the expectation, is denoted by: E(X).
Probability Distributions
Understanding probability is necessary to know the probability distributions. In statistics, probability is how the uncertainty of an event is measured. This event can be anything. The most common examples include tossing a coin, rolling a die, or choosing a card. Each of these events has multiple possibilities. Every such possibility is measured with the help of probability. To be more precise, the probability is used for calculating the occurrence of events that may or may not happen. Probability does not give sure results. Unless the probability of any event is 1, the different outcomes may or may not happen in real life, regardless of how less or how more their probability is.
Basic Probability
The simple definition of probability it is a chance of the occurrence of an event. It is defined in numerical form and the probability value is between 0 to 1. The probability value 0 indicates that there is no chance of that event occurring and the probability value 1 indicates that the event will occur. Sum of the probability value must be 1. The probability value is never a negative number. If it happens, then recheck the calculation.
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