A bag contains 10 marbles, each marble is either red or blue. You claim that four of them are red. To test this claim you take out 5 marbles from the bag and find that 1 of them is red. Test the claim. Determine the p-value and write the answer rounded to four decimal places.

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Author:Amos Gilat
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A bag contains 10 marbles, each marble is either red or blue. You claim that four of them are red. To test this claim you take out 5 marbles from the bag and find that 1 of them is red. Test the claim. Determine the p-value and write the answer rounded to four decimal places.

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Let p be the number of red marbles in the bag full of 10 marbles. My claim is there are 4 marbles in the bag.

Probability of getting a red marble=410=0.4We consider the following hypothesis:-H0: p=0.4     versus      H1:p0.4Let Xi = 1, if the marble is red0, otherwiseUnder H0 , X=i=1nXi~bin(5,0.4)Let x0 be the observed value of X which is 1 in this case. Then, p-value=2×min{PH0[X1|p=0.4],PH0[X1|p=0.4]}

 

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