a) At a fair, a vendor has 25 helium balloons on strings: 10 balloons are yellow, 8 are red, and 7 are green. A balloon is selected at random and sold. Given that the balloon sold is yellow, what is the probability that the next palloon selected at random is also yellow?

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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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1. (a) At a fair, a vendor has 25 helium balloons on strings: 10 balloons are
yellow, 8 are red, and 7 are green. A balloon is selected at random and sold.
Given that the balloon sold is yellow, what is the probability that the next
balloon selected at random is also yellow?
(b) There is a new diagnostic test for a disease that occurs in about 0.05% of
the population. The test is not perfect but will detect a person with the
disease 99% of the time. It will, however, say that a person without the
disease has the disease about 3% of the time. A person is selected at random
from the population and the test indicates that this person has the disease.
What are the conditional probabilities that
(i) the person has the disease?
(ii) the person does not have the disease?
Transcribed Image Text:1. (a) At a fair, a vendor has 25 helium balloons on strings: 10 balloons are yellow, 8 are red, and 7 are green. A balloon is selected at random and sold. Given that the balloon sold is yellow, what is the probability that the next balloon selected at random is also yellow? (b) There is a new diagnostic test for a disease that occurs in about 0.05% of the population. The test is not perfect but will detect a person with the disease 99% of the time. It will, however, say that a person without the disease has the disease about 3% of the time. A person is selected at random from the population and the test indicates that this person has the disease. What are the conditional probabilities that (i) the person has the disease? (ii) the person does not have the disease?
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