9. A naturalist is observing the behavior of a frog in a small lily pond. There are four lily pads in the pond, and the frog jumps from one to another. The pads are numbered arbitrarily; the state of the system is the number of the pad that the frog is on. Transitions occur only when he jumps. Although he can jump from any pad to any other, the probability of jumping to any given pad from the one he is on is inversely proportional to the distance (that is, he is more likely to jump to a near pad than a far one). The distances are Between lily pads 1 and 2 Between lily pads 1 and 3 Between lily pads 1 and 4 Between lily pads 2 and 3 Between lily pads 2 and 4 Between lily pads 3 and 4 slugog 6/5 feet 2 feet 3/2 feet oinoo 6/7 feet 28 1/2 feet 3/4 feet 199

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
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ISBN:9780470458365
Author:Erwin Kreyszig
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Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
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9.
A naturalist is observing the behavior of a frog in a small
lily pond. There are four lily pads in the pond, and the frog
jumps from one to another. The pads are numbered arbitrarily;
the state of the system is the number of the pad that the frog is on.
Transitions occur only when he jumps. Although he can jump
from any pad to any other, the probability of jumping to any
given pad from the one he is on is inversely proportional to the
distance (that is, he is more likely to jump to a near pad than a far
one). The distances are
Between lily pads 1 and 2
Between lily pads 1 and 3
Between lily pads 1 and 4
Between lily pads 2 and 3
Between lily pads 2 and 4
Between lily pads 3 and 4
nousluqoq
6/5 feet
2 feet
3/2 feet
6/7 feet
1/2 feet
3/4 feet
inco
20
199
Transcribed Image Text:9. A naturalist is observing the behavior of a frog in a small lily pond. There are four lily pads in the pond, and the frog jumps from one to another. The pads are numbered arbitrarily; the state of the system is the number of the pad that the frog is on. Transitions occur only when he jumps. Although he can jump from any pad to any other, the probability of jumping to any given pad from the one he is on is inversely proportional to the distance (that is, he is more likely to jump to a near pad than a far one). The distances are Between lily pads 1 and 2 Between lily pads 1 and 3 Between lily pads 1 and 4 Between lily pads 2 and 3 Between lily pads 2 and 4 Between lily pads 3 and 4 nousluqoq 6/5 feet 2 feet 3/2 feet 6/7 feet 1/2 feet 3/4 feet inco 20 199
13.
A hospital is interested in tracking the movements of
heart patients through different units. The four units of interest
are emergency admissions, surgery, intensive care, and recov-
ery. Emergency patients (that is, people who have suffered heart
admissions) are always assigned to the intensive care unit for a
attacks and were brought into the hospital through emergency
period of observation following the emergency treatment. Once
a doctor determines that it is safe to do so, the patient is moved to
a recovery unit. Of course, a relapse requires a return to
intensive care. The surgical unit receives patients of two kinds:
those who are scheduled for heart operations through non-
emergency procedures (planned operations), and those who
come from intensive care (semi-emergency operations). Only
one patient in a hundred dies in surgery; the rest are always
moved to intensive care after surgery. Of the patients in inten-
sive care, whether or not they have previously had surgery,
about 10 percent will undergo surgery; the others are moved into
recovery after some period of intensive care. Once into recov-
ery, most patients (95 percent) eventually either recover suffi-
ciently to be discharged, but about 2 percent have to be returned
to intensive care. The others die in recovery. Draw a transition
diagram, and set up an appropriate transition matrix.
he
Far
are made.
ads to be
Transcribed Image Text:13. A hospital is interested in tracking the movements of heart patients through different units. The four units of interest are emergency admissions, surgery, intensive care, and recov- ery. Emergency patients (that is, people who have suffered heart admissions) are always assigned to the intensive care unit for a attacks and were brought into the hospital through emergency period of observation following the emergency treatment. Once a doctor determines that it is safe to do so, the patient is moved to a recovery unit. Of course, a relapse requires a return to intensive care. The surgical unit receives patients of two kinds: those who are scheduled for heart operations through non- emergency procedures (planned operations), and those who come from intensive care (semi-emergency operations). Only one patient in a hundred dies in surgery; the rest are always moved to intensive care after surgery. Of the patients in inten- sive care, whether or not they have previously had surgery, about 10 percent will undergo surgery; the others are moved into recovery after some period of intensive care. Once into recov- ery, most patients (95 percent) eventually either recover suffi- ciently to be discharged, but about 2 percent have to be returned to intensive care. The others die in recovery. Draw a transition diagram, and set up an appropriate transition matrix. he Far are made. ads to be
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