9- Following table presents the quarterly market share of Tasty Food Company; uarter Firm's Actual Market Share 1 20 2 22 3 23 4 24 5 18 6. 23 7 19 8 17 9 22 10 23 11 18 12 23 13 ? a) Forecast the company's market share for the 13h quarter by exponential smoothing with w-0.3. b) Calculate the Root-Mean Square Error (RMSE) for the exponential forecast using w=0.3. c) If the RMSE for the exponential forecast using w-0.5 is 2.91 then compare which forecasts is better and why?
Continuous Probability Distributions
Probability distributions are of two types, which are continuous probability distributions and discrete probability distributions. A continuous probability distribution contains an infinite number of values. For example, if time is infinite: you could count from 0 to a trillion seconds, billion seconds, so on indefinitely. A discrete probability distribution consists of only a countable set of possible values.
Normal Distribution
Suppose we had to design a bathroom weighing scale, how would we decide what should be the range of the weighing machine? Would we take the highest recorded human weight in history and use that as the upper limit for our weighing scale? This may not be a great idea as the sensitivity of the scale would get reduced if the range is too large. At the same time, if we keep the upper limit too low, it may not be usable for a large percentage of the population!
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Company;
Quarter Firm's Actual Market Share
1
20
2
22
3
23
4
24
5
18
6
23
7
19
8
17
9
22
10
23
11
18
12
23
13
?
a) Forecast the company's market share for the 13th quarter by
exponential smoothing with w-0.3.
b) Calculate the Root-Mean Square Error (RMSE) for the exponential
forecast using w=0.3.
c) If the RMSE for the exponential forecast using w-0.5 is 2.91
then compare which forecasts is better and why?"
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