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8. 20% of people are "accident-prone" and have a probability of 0.15 of having an accident in a 1-year period in contrast to a probability of 0.05 for the other 80% of people. (a) If we pick a person at random, what is the probability that they will have an accident this year? (b)What is the probability a person is accident-prone if they had an accident last year? (c) What is the probability that they will have an accident this year if they had one last year?

8. 20% of people are "accident-prone" and have a probability of 0.15 of having an accident in a 1-year period in contrast to a probability of 0.05 for the other 80% of people. (a) If we pick a person at random, what is the probability that they will have an accident this year? (b)What is the probability a person is accident-prone if they had an accident last year? (c) What is the probability that they will have an accident this year if they had one last year?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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5. You are going to meet a friend at the airport. Your experience tells you that the plane is late 70% of the time when it rains, but is late only 20% of the time when it does not rain. The weather forecast that morning calls for a 40% chance of rain.What is the probability that the plane will be late? 6. The alpha fetal protein test is meant to detect spina bifida in unborn babies, a condition that affects 1 out of 1,000 children who are born. The literature on the test indicates that 5% of the time a healthy baby will cause a positive reaction. We will assume that the test is positive 100% of the time when spina bifida is present. Your doctor has just told you that your alpha fetal protein test was positive. What is the probability that your baby has spina bifida? 7. A student is taking a multiple-choice exam in which each question has four possible answers. She knows the answers to 60% of the questions and guesses at the others. What is the probability that she guessed given that she got question 12 right? 8. 20% of people are "accident-prone" and have a probability of 0.15 of having an accident in a 1-year period in contrast to a probability of 0.05 for the other 80% of people. (a) If we pick a person at random, what is the probability that they will have an accident this year? (b)What is the probability a person is accident-prone if they had an accident last year? (c) What is the probability that they will have an accident this year if they had one last year?
Transcribed Image Text:5. You are going to meet a friend at the airport. Your experience tells you that the plane is late 70% of the time when it rains, but is late only 20% of the time when it does not rain. The weather forecast that morning calls for a 40% chance of rain.What is the probability that the plane will be late? 6. The alpha fetal protein test is meant to detect spina bifida in unborn babies, a condition that affects 1 out of 1,000 children who are born. The literature on the test indicates that 5% of the time a healthy baby will cause a positive reaction. We will assume that the test is positive 100% of the time when spina bifida is present. Your doctor has just told you that your alpha fetal protein test was positive. What is the probability that your baby has spina bifida? 7. A student is taking a multiple-choice exam in which each question has four possible answers. She knows the answers to 60% of the questions and guesses at the others. What is the probability that she guessed given that she got question 12 right? 8. 20% of people are "accident-prone" and have a probability of 0.15 of having an accident in a 1-year period in contrast to a probability of 0.05 for the other 80% of people. (a) If we pick a person at random, what is the probability that they will have an accident this year? (b)What is the probability a person is accident-prone if they had an accident last year? (c) What is the probability that they will have an accident this year if they had one last year?
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