7. Scoping has identified four uses of land with reasonable probabilities of coming to fruition. For each of the four uses, have completed analyses based on you optimistic, pessimistic, and most likely scenarios, and have assigned probabilities to each. Based on your results shown below, what is the expected price of the site? What is the most probable price? Overall Probability (%) Value Distribution of Overall Probability (000s) Use $110 $120 $130 $140 $150 A 10 3% 5% 2% | 10 1 C 20 2 3 60 20 15 15 10 47

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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7. Scoping has identified four uses of land
with reasonable probabilities of coming
to fruition. For each of the four uses,
you have completed analyses based on
optimistic, pessimistic, and most likely
scenarios, and have assigned probabilities
to each. Based on your results shown
below, what is the expected price of the
site? What is the most probable price?
Value Distribution
of Overall Probability
(000s)
Overall
Probability
Use
(%)
$110 $120 $130 $140 $150
10
3%
5%
2%
B
10
3
1
C
20
8.
D
60
20
15
15
10
4-
Transcribed Image Text:7. Scoping has identified four uses of land with reasonable probabilities of coming to fruition. For each of the four uses, you have completed analyses based on optimistic, pessimistic, and most likely scenarios, and have assigned probabilities to each. Based on your results shown below, what is the expected price of the site? What is the most probable price? Value Distribution of Overall Probability (000s) Overall Probability Use (%) $110 $120 $130 $140 $150 10 3% 5% 2% B 10 3 1 C 20 8. D 60 20 15 15 10 4-
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