6.  The probability that a male develops some form of cancer in his lifetime is 0.4567. The probability that a male has at least one false positive test result (meaning the test comes back for cancer when the man does not have it) is 0.51. Some of the following questions do not have enough information for you to answer them. Write “not enough information” for those answers. Suppose C denotes the event that a man develops cancer in his lifetime, and F denotes the event that a man has at least one false positive. Find P(C). Find P(F|C). Find P(F|C'); recall that the notation C' is the compliment of event C.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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6. 

The probability that a male develops some form of cancer in his lifetime is 0.4567. The probability that a male has at least one false positive test result (meaning the test comes back for cancer when the man does not have it) is 0.51. Some of the following questions do not have enough information for you to answer them. Write “not enough information” for those answers. Suppose

C denotes the event that a man develops cancer in his lifetime, and

F denotes the event that a man has at least one false positive.

  1. Find P(C).
  2. Find P(F|C).
  3. Find P(F|C'); recall that the notation C' is the compliment of event C.
  4. If a test comes up positive, based upon numerical values, can you assume that man has cancer? Justify numerically and explain why or why not.
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