6. A Finite final consists of 30 multiple choice questions. If each question has 5 choices and 1 right answer, find the probability that a student gets an A (i.e. 27 or better) by purely guessing on each question.

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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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**Problem Statement:**

A Finite final consists of 30 multiple choice questions. If each question has 5 choices and 1 right answer, find the probability that a student gets an A (i.e. 27 or better) by purely guessing on each question.

**Analysis:**

- Total questions: 30
- Choices per question: 5
- Correct answer chances per question: 1 out of 5
- Target for an 'A': At least 27 correct answers

To solve this problem, one would need to apply binomial probability calculations, focusing on scenarios where the number of successful guesses (correct answers) is 27 or more out of 30. The probability of guessing each question correctly is 0.2 (or 20%).

The problem uses concepts from probability and statistics, specifically the binomial distribution, where:

- \( n = 30 \) (total number of trials - questions)
- \( k = 27, 28, 29, 30 \) (successful outcomes needed for an A)
- \( p = \frac{1}{5} = 0.2 \) (probability of success on a single trial)
- The probability can be calculated using the formula for binomial probability:
  
  \[
  P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}
  \]

Where \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the binomial coefficient.

**Note:** Calculating this probability involves determining the cumulative probability for getting 27, 28, 29, or 30 correct answers and summing these probabilities. This generally requires computational software or a binomial distribution calculator.
Transcribed Image Text:**Problem Statement:** A Finite final consists of 30 multiple choice questions. If each question has 5 choices and 1 right answer, find the probability that a student gets an A (i.e. 27 or better) by purely guessing on each question. **Analysis:** - Total questions: 30 - Choices per question: 5 - Correct answer chances per question: 1 out of 5 - Target for an 'A': At least 27 correct answers To solve this problem, one would need to apply binomial probability calculations, focusing on scenarios where the number of successful guesses (correct answers) is 27 or more out of 30. The probability of guessing each question correctly is 0.2 (or 20%). The problem uses concepts from probability and statistics, specifically the binomial distribution, where: - \( n = 30 \) (total number of trials - questions) - \( k = 27, 28, 29, 30 \) (successful outcomes needed for an A) - \( p = \frac{1}{5} = 0.2 \) (probability of success on a single trial) - The probability can be calculated using the formula for binomial probability: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \] Where \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the binomial coefficient. **Note:** Calculating this probability involves determining the cumulative probability for getting 27, 28, 29, or 30 correct answers and summing these probabilities. This generally requires computational software or a binomial distribution calculator.
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