6 The keepers of a lighthouse were required to keep records of weather conditions. Analysis of their data from many years showed the visibility at mid-day to have a mean value of 14 nautical miles with standard deviation 5.4 nautical miles. A new keeper decided he would test his theory that the air had become less clear (and so visibility reduced) by carrying out a hypothesis test on data collected for his first 36 days on duty. His figures (in nautical miles) were as follows. 35 21 12 7 2 1.5 1.5 1 0.25 0.25 15 17 18 20 16 11 8 8 9. 17 35 35 4 0.25 0.25 5 11 28 35 35 16 2 1 0.5 0.5 1 (i) Write down a distributional assumption for the test to be valid. (ii) Write down suitable null and alternative hypotheses. (iii) Carry out the test at the 2.5% significance level and state the conclusion that the lighthouse keeper would have come to. (iv) Criticise the sampling procedure used by the keeper and suggest a better one.

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(i) You must assume that the visibilities are
normally distributed.
(ii) H,:µ = 14 nautical miles,
H,:µ< 14 nautical miles
1
(iii) z= -2.284, significant
(iv) Choosing 36 consecutive days to collect data is
not a good idea because weather patterns will
ensure that the data are not independent. A
better sampling procedure would be to choose
every tenth day. In this way the effects of weather
patterns over the year would be eliminated.
Transcribed Image Text:(i) You must assume that the visibilities are normally distributed. (ii) H,:µ = 14 nautical miles, H,:µ< 14 nautical miles 1 (iii) z= -2.284, significant (iv) Choosing 36 consecutive days to collect data is not a good idea because weather patterns will ensure that the data are not independent. A better sampling procedure would be to choose every tenth day. In this way the effects of weather patterns over the year would be eliminated.
6 The keepers of a lighthouse were required to keep records of weather
conditions. Analysis of their data from many years showed the visibility at
mid-day to have a mean value of 14 nautical miles with standard deviation
5.4 nautical miles. A new keeper decided he would test his theory that the air
had become less clear (and so visibility reduced) by carrying out a hypothesis
test on data collected for his first 36 days on duty. His figures (in nautical
miles) were as follows.
35
21
12
7
1.5
1.5
1
0.25
0.25
15
17
18
20
16
11
8
8.
9.
17
35
35
4
0.25
0.25
11
28
35
35
16
2
1
0.5
0.5
1
(i) Write down a distributional assumption for the test to be valid.
(ii) Write down suitable null and alternative hypotheses.
(iii) Carry out the test at the 2.5% significance level and state the conclusion
that the lighthouse keeper would have come to.
(iv) Criticise the sampling procedure used by the keeper and suggest a better one.
Transcribed Image Text:6 The keepers of a lighthouse were required to keep records of weather conditions. Analysis of their data from many years showed the visibility at mid-day to have a mean value of 14 nautical miles with standard deviation 5.4 nautical miles. A new keeper decided he would test his theory that the air had become less clear (and so visibility reduced) by carrying out a hypothesis test on data collected for his first 36 days on duty. His figures (in nautical miles) were as follows. 35 21 12 7 1.5 1.5 1 0.25 0.25 15 17 18 20 16 11 8 8. 9. 17 35 35 4 0.25 0.25 11 28 35 35 16 2 1 0.5 0.5 1 (i) Write down a distributional assumption for the test to be valid. (ii) Write down suitable null and alternative hypotheses. (iii) Carry out the test at the 2.5% significance level and state the conclusion that the lighthouse keeper would have come to. (iv) Criticise the sampling procedure used by the keeper and suggest a better one.
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