4. You find a 6-sided die on the ground. For no reason in particular, you decide to roll it. After you roll it three times, you discover something peculiar: every time, the die has landed on the side labeled (4). You get suspicious: what if this is an extremely biased die that always lands on 4?

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4. You find a 6-sided die on the ground. For no reason in particular, you decide to roll it. After
you roll it three times, you discover something peculiar: every time, the die has landed on
the side labeled (4). You get suspicious: what if this is an extremely biased die that always
lands on 4?
(a) What extra piece of information would you need to calculate, given your experimental
data, how likely this die is to be an "extremely biased" die that always lands on 4?
(b) Come up with a plausible value for this extra piece of information, and use it to compute
that probability.
Transcribed Image Text:4. You find a 6-sided die on the ground. For no reason in particular, you decide to roll it. After you roll it three times, you discover something peculiar: every time, the die has landed on the side labeled (4). You get suspicious: what if this is an extremely biased die that always lands on 4? (a) What extra piece of information would you need to calculate, given your experimental data, how likely this die is to be an "extremely biased" die that always lands on 4? (b) Come up with a plausible value for this extra piece of information, and use it to compute that probability.
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From the given information,

A 6-sided die is rolled.

After rolling the dice three times, every time, the die has landed on the side labeled 4.

 

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