4. Two STT200 students, Don Diego and Elena Montero, want to estimate the population proportion of Democrats who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 at 90% confidence with a margin of error no more than 1.28%. How many Democrats would they need to survey to do this? Use the data above as a preliminary sample. n = 5. Suppose you conduct new survey this month and construct a 90% confidence interval for the population proportion of Americans who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 to be (0.883, 0.897). Which of the statements below is a correct interpretation of this confidence interval? OA. There is a 90% chance that about 89% of Americans wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19. OB. We can be 90% confident that the population proportion of Americans who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 is contained in the interval we constructed. OC. If we collected another random sample of the same size, there is a 90% chance that the new sample proportion will be between 0.883 and 0.897. OD. 90% of the time, the population proportion of Americans who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 is between 0.883 and 0.897.

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### Analyzing Mask Usage Across Political Affiliations During COVID-19

**Introduction:**
In light of evidence about how COVID-19 spreads, the CDC recommends that people wear a cloth facemask to cover their nose and mouth in the community setting. The following information is adapted from the National Panel Study of COVID-19 by Vargas et al. A key finding of this study is: "Whether or not an American wears a facemask in public probably has a lot to do with their political affiliation". Results consistent with the survey conducted between April 14 and April 21, 2020, are summarized in the table below:

#### Table: Mask Usage by Political Affiliation

|                | Masked | Unmasked | Total |
|----------------|--------|----------|-------|
| **Democrats**  | 829    | 309      | 1138  |
| **Republicans**| 640    | 445      | 1085  |

**Instructions:**
- Round all calculated values in this problem to 4 decimal places.

#### Questions:

1. **Provide a Point Estimate for Population Proportion:**
    - What is the population proportion of Democrats who wore a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 at the time of the survey?

    \( \hat{p} = \) __[Input Answer]__

2. **Construct a 90% Confidence Interval:**
    - Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population proportion of Democrats who wore a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 at the time of the survey.

    \( ( \) __[Input Answer]__ \( , \) __[Input Answer]__ \( ) \)

3. **Conditions for Valid Confidence Interval:**
    - Which of the following conditions must be met for the confidence interval to be valid? Select all that apply.

    - [ ] A. The observations must be independent of one another.
    - [ ] B. There must be at least 10 'success' and 10 'failure' observations.
    - [ ] C. The sample size must be at least 30 or the population data must be normally distributed.
    - [ ] D. There must be an expected count of at least 5 in every cell of the table.

This exercise aims to help you understand statistical inference and how to apply it to real-world data, particularly in the context of public health recommendations and behavioral responses during a global
Transcribed Image Text:### Analyzing Mask Usage Across Political Affiliations During COVID-19 **Introduction:** In light of evidence about how COVID-19 spreads, the CDC recommends that people wear a cloth facemask to cover their nose and mouth in the community setting. The following information is adapted from the National Panel Study of COVID-19 by Vargas et al. A key finding of this study is: "Whether or not an American wears a facemask in public probably has a lot to do with their political affiliation". Results consistent with the survey conducted between April 14 and April 21, 2020, are summarized in the table below: #### Table: Mask Usage by Political Affiliation | | Masked | Unmasked | Total | |----------------|--------|----------|-------| | **Democrats** | 829 | 309 | 1138 | | **Republicans**| 640 | 445 | 1085 | **Instructions:** - Round all calculated values in this problem to 4 decimal places. #### Questions: 1. **Provide a Point Estimate for Population Proportion:** - What is the population proportion of Democrats who wore a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 at the time of the survey? \( \hat{p} = \) __[Input Answer]__ 2. **Construct a 90% Confidence Interval:** - Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population proportion of Democrats who wore a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 at the time of the survey. \( ( \) __[Input Answer]__ \( , \) __[Input Answer]__ \( ) \) 3. **Conditions for Valid Confidence Interval:** - Which of the following conditions must be met for the confidence interval to be valid? Select all that apply. - [ ] A. The observations must be independent of one another. - [ ] B. There must be at least 10 'success' and 10 'failure' observations. - [ ] C. The sample size must be at least 30 or the population data must be normally distributed. - [ ] D. There must be an expected count of at least 5 in every cell of the table. This exercise aims to help you understand statistical inference and how to apply it to real-world data, particularly in the context of public health recommendations and behavioral responses during a global
### Confidence Intervals and Sample Size Calculation

#### Example Scenario:

Two STT200 students, Don Diego and Elena Montero, want to estimate the population proportion of Democrats who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 at 90% confidence with a margin of error no more than 1.28%. How many Democrats would they need to survey to do this? Use the data above as a preliminary sample.

\[n = \text{____}\]

#### Understanding Confidence Intervals:

Suppose you conduct a new survey this month and construct a 90% confidence interval for the population proportion of Americans who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 to be (0.883, 0.897). Which of the statements below is a correct interpretation of this confidence interval?

- **A.** There is a 90% chance that about 89% of Americans wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19.
- **B.** We can be 90% confident that the population proportion of Americans who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 is contained in the interval we constructed.
- **C.** If we collected another random sample of the same size, there is a 90% chance that the new sample proportion will be between 0.883 and 0.897.
- **D.** 90% of the time, the population proportion of Americans who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 is between 0.883 and 0.897.

### Detailed Graphical Explanation

There is no graph or diagram provided in the image above. However, understanding confidence intervals typically involves visualizing:

1. **The Sample Proportion:** This is the point estimate derived from your survey data.
2. **The Margin of Error:** This represents the range around the sample proportion that could likely contain the true population proportion.
3. **The Confidence Level:** This informs us about the probability (in percentage terms) that the confidence interval contains the true population proportion if we were to repeat the survey multiple times. 

### Key Points to Note:

- **Sample Size Calculation:** To determine how many individuals Don Diego and Elena need to survey, use the formula for sample size in proportion estimation considering the desired margin of error and confidence level.
- **Correct Interpretation (Question 5):** The correct interpretation of a confidence interval is covered in statement **B**. This means we can
Transcribed Image Text:### Confidence Intervals and Sample Size Calculation #### Example Scenario: Two STT200 students, Don Diego and Elena Montero, want to estimate the population proportion of Democrats who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 at 90% confidence with a margin of error no more than 1.28%. How many Democrats would they need to survey to do this? Use the data above as a preliminary sample. \[n = \text{____}\] #### Understanding Confidence Intervals: Suppose you conduct a new survey this month and construct a 90% confidence interval for the population proportion of Americans who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 to be (0.883, 0.897). Which of the statements below is a correct interpretation of this confidence interval? - **A.** There is a 90% chance that about 89% of Americans wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19. - **B.** We can be 90% confident that the population proportion of Americans who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 is contained in the interval we constructed. - **C.** If we collected another random sample of the same size, there is a 90% chance that the new sample proportion will be between 0.883 and 0.897. - **D.** 90% of the time, the population proportion of Americans who wear a mask to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 is between 0.883 and 0.897. ### Detailed Graphical Explanation There is no graph or diagram provided in the image above. However, understanding confidence intervals typically involves visualizing: 1. **The Sample Proportion:** This is the point estimate derived from your survey data. 2. **The Margin of Error:** This represents the range around the sample proportion that could likely contain the true population proportion. 3. **The Confidence Level:** This informs us about the probability (in percentage terms) that the confidence interval contains the true population proportion if we were to repeat the survey multiple times. ### Key Points to Note: - **Sample Size Calculation:** To determine how many individuals Don Diego and Elena need to survey, use the formula for sample size in proportion estimation considering the desired margin of error and confidence level. - **Correct Interpretation (Question 5):** The correct interpretation of a confidence interval is covered in statement **B**. This means we can
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