4. Suppose you have two biased coins, but you don't know which coin is which. Coin 1 comes up heads with probability 3/4, while coin 2 comes up heads with probability 1/3. Suppose you pick a coin at random and flip it. Let C denote the event that coin i is picked . Let H and T denote the possible outcomes of the flip. (a) Draw a tree diagram for the experiment. (b) Given that the outcome of the flip is a head, what is P[CH], the probability that you picked the second coin? (c) Given that the outcome is a tail, what is the probability P[C|T] that you picked the

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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4. Suppose you have two biased coins, but you don't know which coin is which. Coin 1
comes up heads with probability 3/4, while coin 2 comes up heads with probability 1/3.
Suppose you pick a coin at random and flip it. Let C, denote the event that coin i is
picked . Let H and T denote the possible outcomes of the flip.
(a) Draw a tree diagram for the experiment.
(b) Given that the outcome of the flip is a head, what is P[C2|H], the probability that you
picked the second coin?
(c) Given that the outcome is a tail, what is the probability P[Ci|T] that you picked the
first coin?
Transcribed Image Text:4. Suppose you have two biased coins, but you don't know which coin is which. Coin 1 comes up heads with probability 3/4, while coin 2 comes up heads with probability 1/3. Suppose you pick a coin at random and flip it. Let C, denote the event that coin i is picked . Let H and T denote the possible outcomes of the flip. (a) Draw a tree diagram for the experiment. (b) Given that the outcome of the flip is a head, what is P[C2|H], the probability that you picked the second coin? (c) Given that the outcome is a tail, what is the probability P[Ci|T] that you picked the first coin?
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