A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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A company is developing a new computer chip. Each month a collection of prototypes is tested and the percentage Pof chips that operate successfully is recorded. Here are the results.
m= month
P= % successful
1
3
4
6
7
23
29
35
45
52
63
70
(a) Find a logistic model for P versus m.
114.32
P =
1+ 5.54e0.313m
57.16
O P=
1+ 6.65e-0.157m
124.82
OP=
-0.104m
1+ 1.11e
38.11
OP
1+ 13.85e-0.078m
22.86
O P:
1+ 2.77e-0.063m
(b) A reliability curve is a graph of percentage of successes versus time. Make a reliability curve for this computer chip. Include both the data and the model in your graph, and cover months
from 0 to 15.
120
120
100
100
80
80
60
60
40
40
20
20
2
6.
10
12
14
2
6.
8.
10
12
14
120
120
100
100
80
80
60
60
40
40
20
20
4
6.
10
12
14
4
6.
10
12
14
(c) The chip is ready for production when reliability reaches 95%. When does the logistic model predict the chip will be ready for production? Round your answer to the nearest month. (Use
the model found in part (a).)
m =
Transcribed Image Text:A company is developing a new computer chip. Each month a collection of prototypes is tested and the percentage Pof chips that operate successfully is recorded. Here are the results. m= month P= % successful 1 3 4 6 7 23 29 35 45 52 63 70 (a) Find a logistic model for P versus m. 114.32 P = 1+ 5.54e0.313m 57.16 O P= 1+ 6.65e-0.157m 124.82 OP= -0.104m 1+ 1.11e 38.11 OP 1+ 13.85e-0.078m 22.86 O P: 1+ 2.77e-0.063m (b) A reliability curve is a graph of percentage of successes versus time. Make a reliability curve for this computer chip. Include both the data and the model in your graph, and cover months from 0 to 15. 120 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 2 6. 10 12 14 2 6. 8. 10 12 14 120 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 4 6. 10 12 14 4 6. 10 12 14 (c) The chip is ready for production when reliability reaches 95%. When does the logistic model predict the chip will be ready for production? Round your answer to the nearest month. (Use the model found in part (a).) m =
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