3.5 Bayes' Theorem, Screening Tests, Sensitivity, Specificity, and Predictive Value Positive and Negative a procedure with considerable HIV risk. Although this practice is common, little is known about the prevalence of such practices. The researchers asked injection drug users in four neighborhoods in the South Bronx if they ever "got down on" drugs in bags or shots. The results classified by gender and splitting practice are given below: Gender Split Drugs Never Split Drugs Total WeITIMINO Male 349 324 673 Female 220 128 348 Total 569 452 1021 Source: Daniel Fernando, Robert F. Schilling, Jorge Fontdevila, and Nabila El-Bassel, "Predictors of Sharing Drugs among Injection Drug Users in the South Bronx: Implications for HIV Transmission," Journal of Psychoactive Drugs, 35 (2003), 227-236. toe (a) How many marginal probabilities can be calculated from these data? State each in probability notation and do the calculations. (b) How many joint probabilities can be calculated? State each in probability notation and do the calculations. (c) How many conditional probabilities can be calculated? State each in probability nota- tion and do the calculations. (d) Use the multiplication rule to find the probability that a person picked at random never split drugs and is female. (e) What do we call the probability calculated in part d? (f) Use the multiplication rule to find the probability that a person picked at random is male, given that he admits to splitting drugs. (g) What do we call the probability calculated in part f? Refer to the data in Exercise 3.4.2. State the following probabilities in words and calculate: (a) P(Male n Split Drugs) (b) P(Male U Split Drugs) (c) P(Male|Split Drugs) (d) P(Male) qu? 3.4.3 3.4.4 If the probability of left-handedness in a certain group of people is .05, what is the prob- ability of right-handedness (assuming no ambidexterity)? The probability is .6 that a patient selected at random from the current residents of a certain 3.4.5 hospital will be a male. The probability that the patient will be a male who is in for surgery is .2. A patient randomly selected from current residents is found to be a male; what is the probability that the patient is in the hospital for surgery?

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i only need assistance on 3.4.4 AND 3.4.5

3.5 Bayes' Theorem, Screening Tests, Sensitivity, Specificity, and Predictive Value Positive and Negative
a procedure with considerable HIV risk. Although this practice is common, little is known
about the prevalence of such practices. The researchers asked injection drug users in four
neighborhoods in the South Bronx if they ever "got down on" drugs in bags or shots. The
results classified by gender and splitting practice are given below:
Gender
Split Drugs
Never Split Drugs
Total
WeITIMINO
Male
349
324
673
Female
220
128
348
Total
569
452
1021
Source: Daniel Fernando, Robert F. Schilling, Jorge Fontdevila, and
Nabila El-Bassel, "Predictors of Sharing Drugs among Injection Drug
Users in the South Bronx: Implications for HIV Transmission," Journal of
Psychoactive Drugs, 35 (2003), 227-236.
toe
(a) How many marginal probabilities can be calculated from these data? State each in
probability notation and do the calculations.
(b) How many joint probabilities can be calculated? State each in probability notation
and do the calculations.
(c) How many conditional probabilities can be calculated? State each in probability nota-
tion and do the calculations.
(d) Use the multiplication rule to find the probability that a person picked at random
never split drugs and is female.
(e) What do we call the probability calculated in part d?
(f) Use the multiplication rule to find the probability that a person picked at random is
male, given that he admits to splitting drugs.
(g) What do we call the probability calculated in part f?
Refer to the data in Exercise 3.4.2. State the following probabilities in words and calculate:
(a) P(Male n Split Drugs)
(b) P(Male U Split Drugs)
(c) P(Male|Split Drugs)
(d) P(Male)
qu?
3.4.3
3.4.4 If the probability of left-handedness in a certain group of people is .05, what is the prob-
ability of right-handedness (assuming no ambidexterity)?
The probability is .6 that a patient selected at random from the current residents of a certain
3.4.5
hospital will be a male. The probability that the patient will be a male who is in for surgery
is .2. A patient randomly selected from current residents is found to be a male; what is the
probability that the patient is in the hospital for surgery?
Transcribed Image Text:3.5 Bayes' Theorem, Screening Tests, Sensitivity, Specificity, and Predictive Value Positive and Negative a procedure with considerable HIV risk. Although this practice is common, little is known about the prevalence of such practices. The researchers asked injection drug users in four neighborhoods in the South Bronx if they ever "got down on" drugs in bags or shots. The results classified by gender and splitting practice are given below: Gender Split Drugs Never Split Drugs Total WeITIMINO Male 349 324 673 Female 220 128 348 Total 569 452 1021 Source: Daniel Fernando, Robert F. Schilling, Jorge Fontdevila, and Nabila El-Bassel, "Predictors of Sharing Drugs among Injection Drug Users in the South Bronx: Implications for HIV Transmission," Journal of Psychoactive Drugs, 35 (2003), 227-236. toe (a) How many marginal probabilities can be calculated from these data? State each in probability notation and do the calculations. (b) How many joint probabilities can be calculated? State each in probability notation and do the calculations. (c) How many conditional probabilities can be calculated? State each in probability nota- tion and do the calculations. (d) Use the multiplication rule to find the probability that a person picked at random never split drugs and is female. (e) What do we call the probability calculated in part d? (f) Use the multiplication rule to find the probability that a person picked at random is male, given that he admits to splitting drugs. (g) What do we call the probability calculated in part f? Refer to the data in Exercise 3.4.2. State the following probabilities in words and calculate: (a) P(Male n Split Drugs) (b) P(Male U Split Drugs) (c) P(Male|Split Drugs) (d) P(Male) qu? 3.4.3 3.4.4 If the probability of left-handedness in a certain group of people is .05, what is the prob- ability of right-handedness (assuming no ambidexterity)? The probability is .6 that a patient selected at random from the current residents of a certain 3.4.5 hospital will be a male. The probability that the patient will be a male who is in for surgery is .2. A patient randomly selected from current residents is found to be a male; what is the probability that the patient is in the hospital for surgery?
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