3.30. In Laplace's rule of succession (Example 5e ), suppose that the first n flips resulted in r heads and n -r tails. Show that the probability that the (n+1) flip turns up heads is (r + 1)/(n + 2). To do so, you will have to prove and use the identity parts yields m [*(1-x) - dy = Hint: To prove the identity, let 0.04 n!m! (n + m + 1)! m let c(n.m)-[(1-3) "dy. Integrating by m c(n,m) = 7₁ C(n + 1, m − 1) n+ 1 Starting with C(n, 0) = 1/(n + 1), prove the identity by induction on m. natinal but philosophically minded friend of

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3.30. How can I show that?

**3.30. In Laplace’s rule of succession (Example 5e), suppose that the first n flips resulted in r heads and n - r tails. Show that the probability that the (n + 1) flip turns up heads is (r + 1)/(n + 2). To do so, you will have to prove and use the identity**

\[
\int_0^1 y^n (1-y)^m \, dy = \frac{n!m!}{(n+m+1)!}
\]

**Hint:** To prove the identity, let 

\[
C(n, m) = \int_0^1 y^n (1-y)^m \, dy
\]

Integrating by parts yields

\[
C(n, m) = \frac{m}{n+1} C(n+1, m-1)
\]

Starting with \(C(n, 0) = 1/(n+1)\), prove the identity by induction on m.
Transcribed Image Text:**3.30. In Laplace’s rule of succession (Example 5e), suppose that the first n flips resulted in r heads and n - r tails. Show that the probability that the (n + 1) flip turns up heads is (r + 1)/(n + 2). To do so, you will have to prove and use the identity** \[ \int_0^1 y^n (1-y)^m \, dy = \frac{n!m!}{(n+m+1)!} \] **Hint:** To prove the identity, let \[ C(n, m) = \int_0^1 y^n (1-y)^m \, dy \] Integrating by parts yields \[ C(n, m) = \frac{m}{n+1} C(n+1, m-1) \] Starting with \(C(n, 0) = 1/(n+1)\), prove the identity by induction on m.
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