3. (c-f). The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan. Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product.
3. (c-f). The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan. Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product.
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Transcribed Image Text:3. (c-f). The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to
manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the
component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the
demand for the product.
State of Nature
Low Demand
Medium Demand
High Demand
Decislon Alternative
Manufacture, d
Purchase, d
-20
10
40
45
100
70
The relevant condifional probabilities are as follows:
P(F|) - 0.10
P(F|52) = 0,40
P(F|5) - 0.00
P(U|s) - 090
P(U s) - 0.00
P(U 3) = 0.40
c. A lest market study of the potential dermand for the product is expected to report
either a tavorable (F) or untavorable (U) condition.

Transcribed Image Text:Iv.
Draw the decslon tree leading to market study/ prediction of favorable
condition.
v.
Draw the decision tree leading to market study/ prediction of unfavorable
condition.
vi.
Draw the decision tree incorporating the 2 conditions.
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