3. A game show involves three doors. One door conceals a brand new car, and the other two doors conceal rubber chickens. To start the game, the contestant picks one of the doors. The host then opens one of the other doors, revealing a rubber chicken. Finally, the contestant is given the option to either open the door they have chosen, or switch and open the other door. Using the Law of Total Probability, explain why the contestant will double their chances of winning the car if they switch doors.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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3. A game show involves three doors. One door conceals a brand new car, and
the other two doors conceal rubber chickens. To start the game, the contestant
picks one of the doors. The host then opens one of the other doors, revealing
a rubber chicken. Finally, the contestant is given the option to either open
the door they have chosen, or switch and open the other door. Using the Law
of Total Probability, explain why the contestant will double their chances of
winning the car if they switch doors.
Transcribed Image Text:3. A game show involves three doors. One door conceals a brand new car, and the other two doors conceal rubber chickens. To start the game, the contestant picks one of the doors. The host then opens one of the other doors, revealing a rubber chicken. Finally, the contestant is given the option to either open the door they have chosen, or switch and open the other door. Using the Law of Total Probability, explain why the contestant will double their chances of winning the car if they switch doors.
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