Long Short Lake Tee Hole 3 4 5 6 Score Probability 0.25 0.05 0.15 0.40 0.15

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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ISBN:9781119256830
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Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
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The name of the Water Hole comes from the small lake that lies between the tee, where the ball is first hit, and the hole. Miguel has two approaches to hitting the ball from the tee, the short hit and the long hit. The short hit results in the ball landing before the lake. The values of X in the table are based on the short hit. The long hit, if successful, results in the ball traveling over the lake and landing on the other side. The two approaches are shown in the following diagram.

A potential issue with the long hit is that the ball might land in the water, which is not a good outcome. Miguel thinks that if the long hit is successful, his expected value improves to 4.2. However, if the long hit fails and the ball lands in the water, his expected value would be worse and increases to 5.4.

(c) Suppose the probability of a successful long hit is 0.4. Which approach, the short hit or the long hit, is better in terms of improving the expected value of the score? Justify your answer.

(d) Let p represent the probability of a successful long hit. What values of p will make the long hit better than the short hit in terms of improving the expected value of the score? Explain your reasoning.

Long
Short
Lake
Tee
Hole
Transcribed Image Text:Long Short Lake Tee Hole
3
4
5
6
Score
Probability
0.25
0.05
0.15
0.40
0.15
Transcribed Image Text:3 4 5 6 Score Probability 0.25 0.05 0.15 0.40 0.15
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