22. In 1710, J. Arbuthnot observed that male births had exceeded female births in London for 82 successive years. Arguing that the two sexes are equally likely, and 2-82 is very small, he attributed this run of masculinity to Divine Providence. Let us assume that each birth results in a girl with probability p = 0.485, and that the outcomes of different confinements are independent of each other. Ignoring the possibility of twins (and so on), show that the probability that girls outnumber boys in 2n live births is no greater than (2) p"q"{q/(q − p)}, where q = 1 - p. Suppose that 20,000 children are born in each of 82 successive years. Show that the probability that boys outnumber girls every year is at least 0.99. You may need Stirling's formula.

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
icon
Related questions
Question
22. In 1710, J. Arbuthnot observed that male births had exceeded female births in London for 82
successive years. Arguing that the two sexes are equally likely, and 2-82 is very small, he attributed
this run of masculinity to Divine Providence. Let us assume that each birth results in a girl with
probability p = 0.485, and that the outcomes of different confinements are independent of each other.
Ignoring the possibility of twins (and so on), show that the probability that girls outnumber boys in 2n
live births is no greater than (2) p"q"{q/(q- p)}, where q = 1 - p. Suppose that 20,000 children
are born in each of 82 successive years. Show that the probability that boys outnumber girls every
year is at least 0.99. You may need Stirling's formula.
Transcribed Image Text:22. In 1710, J. Arbuthnot observed that male births had exceeded female births in London for 82 successive years. Arguing that the two sexes are equally likely, and 2-82 is very small, he attributed this run of masculinity to Divine Providence. Let us assume that each birth results in a girl with probability p = 0.485, and that the outcomes of different confinements are independent of each other. Ignoring the possibility of twins (and so on), show that the probability that girls outnumber boys in 2n live births is no greater than (2) p"q"{q/(q- p)}, where q = 1 - p. Suppose that 20,000 children are born in each of 82 successive years. Show that the probability that boys outnumber girls every year is at least 0.99. You may need Stirling's formula.
Expert Solution
steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps with 2 images

Blurred answer
Similar questions
Recommended textbooks for you
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
Statistics
ISBN:
9781119256830
Author:
Amos Gilat
Publisher:
John Wiley & Sons Inc
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305251809
Author:
Jay L. Devore
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305504912
Author:
Frederick J Gravetter, Larry B. Wallnau
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Statistics
ISBN:
9780134683416
Author:
Ron Larson, Betsy Farber
Publisher:
PEARSON
The Basic Practice of Statistics
The Basic Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319042578
Author:
David S. Moore, William I. Notz, Michael A. Fligner
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319013387
Author:
David S. Moore, George P. McCabe, Bruce A. Craig
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman