20 percent of the population is already infected with the virus. • 90 percent of infected patients test positive. • 50 percent of healthy uninfected patients also test positive. For this section, express your answer as a simple fraction or number. i. What is the probability that a random person tests positive?   ii. What is the probability that a random person who tests positive actually has the virus? iii. Suppose an independent second test is performed on a patient that previously tested positive. This time, the test result is negative. Now, what is the probability that the patient is infected with the virus?

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Problem 4

A certain virus is spreading rapidly through the population and doctors have come up with a new but imperfect test to determine if a patient is infected.
• 20 percent of the population is already infected with the virus.
• 90 percent of infected patients test positive.
• 50 percent of healthy uninfected patients also test positive.

For this section, express your answer as a simple fraction or number.
i. What is the probability that a random person tests positive?
 
ii. What is the probability that a random person who tests positive actually has the virus?

iii. Suppose an independent second test is performed on a patient that previously tested positive. This time, the test result is negative. Now, what is the probability that the patient is infected with the virus?
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