2. You are allowed to play a game with the following rules. You pay $1 to flip a fair Quarter, Nickel and Dime. If they all three come up Heads or all three come up Tails you get $3. You are allowed to play this as many times as you want. A. Create a Table to goes through the Probabilities for the outcomes (win or lose) B. What is the Expected Value of playing this game? C. Should you play this game?

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**Game Rules and Analysis**

You are allowed to play a game with the following rules. You pay $1 to flip a fair Quarter, Nickel, and Dime. If they all three come up Heads or all three come up Tails, you get $3. You are allowed to play this as many times as you want.

**Tasks:**

A. Create a Table to go through the Probabilities for the outcomes (win or lose).

B. What is the Expected Value of playing this game?

C. Should you play this game?

---

**Explanation for Educational Website:**

**Potential Outcomes:**

1. All coins come up Heads.
2. All coins come up Tails.
3. Mixed results (not all Heads or all Tails: any combination of Heads and Tails in different orders).

**Probabilities:**

- Probability of all Heads (HHH) = \( \frac{1}{8} \) 
- Probability of all Tails (TTT) = \( \frac{1}{8} \)
- Probability of Mixed results = \(1 - \left(\frac{1}{8} + \frac{1}{8}\right) = \frac{6}{8}\) or \( \frac{3}{4} \)

**Win/Loss Table:**

| Outcome   | Probability | Winnings | Net Gain/Loss |
|-----------|-------------|----------|---------------|
| All Heads or All Tails | \( \frac{2}{8} \) or \( \frac{1}{4} \) | $3       | $2            |
| Mixed Results   | \( \frac{6}{8} \) or \( \frac{3}{4} \) | $0       | -$1           |

**Expected Value Calculation:**

\[ \text{Expected Value} = \left(\frac{1}{4} \times 2\right) + \left(\frac{3}{4} \times (-1)\right) \]

\[ = \frac{1}{2} - \frac{3}{4} \]

\[ = -\frac{1}{4} \]

The expected value of playing this game is \(-\frac{1}{4}\), meaning you are expected to lose 25 cents per game on average.

**Conclusion:**

Considering the negative expected value, it is not advisable to play this game if you aim to make a profit
Transcribed Image Text:**Game Rules and Analysis** You are allowed to play a game with the following rules. You pay $1 to flip a fair Quarter, Nickel, and Dime. If they all three come up Heads or all three come up Tails, you get $3. You are allowed to play this as many times as you want. **Tasks:** A. Create a Table to go through the Probabilities for the outcomes (win or lose). B. What is the Expected Value of playing this game? C. Should you play this game? --- **Explanation for Educational Website:** **Potential Outcomes:** 1. All coins come up Heads. 2. All coins come up Tails. 3. Mixed results (not all Heads or all Tails: any combination of Heads and Tails in different orders). **Probabilities:** - Probability of all Heads (HHH) = \( \frac{1}{8} \) - Probability of all Tails (TTT) = \( \frac{1}{8} \) - Probability of Mixed results = \(1 - \left(\frac{1}{8} + \frac{1}{8}\right) = \frac{6}{8}\) or \( \frac{3}{4} \) **Win/Loss Table:** | Outcome | Probability | Winnings | Net Gain/Loss | |-----------|-------------|----------|---------------| | All Heads or All Tails | \( \frac{2}{8} \) or \( \frac{1}{4} \) | $3 | $2 | | Mixed Results | \( \frac{6}{8} \) or \( \frac{3}{4} \) | $0 | -$1 | **Expected Value Calculation:** \[ \text{Expected Value} = \left(\frac{1}{4} \times 2\right) + \left(\frac{3}{4} \times (-1)\right) \] \[ = \frac{1}{2} - \frac{3}{4} \] \[ = -\frac{1}{4} \] The expected value of playing this game is \(-\frac{1}{4}\), meaning you are expected to lose 25 cents per game on average. **Conclusion:** Considering the negative expected value, it is not advisable to play this game if you aim to make a profit
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